KKS Lech Poznan — KI Klaksvik: Win probabilities, 06.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 95.1% |
| 12 | 88.4% | |
| X2 | 16.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 44.1% / 55.9% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 96.8% / 3.2% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 87.2% / 12.8% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 68.7% / 31.3% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 47.3% / 52.7% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 28.3% / 71.7% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 14.8% / 85.2% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
KKS Lech Poznan go into this UEFA Europa League, Qualification tie as the clearly stronger side, with a high level of confidence behind the home outcome. The overall assessment points towards an attacking match, and the hosts appear well placed to control the game through sustained pressure and greater attacking authority.
KI Klaksvik still have a route into the contest, particularly if they can remain compact and make the most of their opportunities in transition. However, the outlook favours KKS Lech Poznan, with the most likely scenarios involving the hosts scoring multiple times while limiting the visitors’ chances. The expectation of both teams scoring remains finely balanced rather than decisive, so the clearest signal is the home result rather than a firm view on the away side finding the net. The projected scorelines lean towards a controlled home victory, with a clean sheet appearing more plausible than an open exchange of goals.
What matters before kick-off
Transition from Champions League
Both Lech Poznan and KÍ Klaksvík dropped out of Champions League qualifying in the second round, entering the UEFA Europa League third qualifying round.
First head-to-head encounter
The match on August 6, 2026, marks the first official head-to-head encounter between Polish club Lech Poznan and Faroese side KÍ Klaksvík.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.