Kuopion Palloseura — CS Universitatea Craiova: Win probabilities, 06.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 54.7% |
| 12 | 72.9% | |
| X2 | 72.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 54.8% / 45.2% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 92.4% / 7.6% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 76.0% / 24.0% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 50.6% / 49.4% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 28.6% / 71.4% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 13.7% / 86.3% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 5.7% / 94.3% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
Kuopion Palloseura host CS Universitatea Craiova in a UEFA Europa League qualification tie that appears finely balanced but gives the visitors a slight edge. The available assessment points towards an away result or draw, with CS Universitatea Craiova showing the stronger overall outlook. That advantage is not overwhelming, however, and Kuopion Palloseura remain capable of keeping the contest close on home ground.
The match is expected to produce a moderate number of goals rather than becoming either a defensive stalemate or an open shootout. There is no clear indication that both teams will score, making that aspect difficult to separate. The most plausible scorelines are 1:1, 0:1 and 1:2, which reflect a competitive game where small details may decide the outcome. Kuopion Palloseura will likely need to manage the visitors' attacking threat carefully, while CS Universitatea Craiova can focus on maintaining control and taking advantage of their marginally stronger position.
What matters before kick-off
Stakes in Third Qualifying Round
The winner of the tie between KuPS and Universitatea Craiova will advance to the Europa League play-off round and secure at least a spot in the Conference League main phase.
Clash of Domestic Champions
Finnish champions KuPS host Romanian champions Universitatea Craiova in the first leg of the UEFA Europa League third qualifying round at Väre Areena in Kuopio.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.