Larne FC — FC Iberia 1999: Win probabilities, 04.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 59.4% |
| 12 | 71.6% | |
| X2 | 69.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 50.3% / 49.7% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 90.7% / 9.3% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 71.0% / 29.0% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 44.4% / 55.6% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 23.3% / 76.7% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 10.3% / 89.7% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 3.9% / 96.1% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
Larne FC face FC Iberia 1999 in a UEFA Europa League qualification tie that appears finely balanced, with a slight edge for the visitors. The moderate confidence in that assessment suggests a competitive match rather than a clear mismatch, and the draw remains a substantial possibility. The available signal points toward an outcome where FC Iberia 1999 avoid defeat.
The scoring outlook is medium-scoring, but whether both teams find the net is difficult to separate, effectively making it a coin flip. The most plausible scorelines reflect that uncertainty: 1:1 offers a balanced scenario, while 0:1 gives FC Iberia 1999 a narrow away win. A goalless draw is also within the main range of possibilities, indicating that the match could be decided by small margins and careful defensive work.
What matters before kick-off
Iberia 1999 Renaming
Georgian club FC Iberia 1999 was previously known as FC Saburtalo before officially adopting its current name in February 2024.
Larne's Home Ground
Northern Irish club Larne FC play their home matches at Inver Park, a venue the club has continuously used since 1918.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.