Shamrock Rovers — FC Ararat-Armenia: Win probabilities, 28.07.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 86.2% |
| 12 | 78.3% | |
| X2 | 35.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 46.9% / 53.1% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 93.1% / 6.9% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 76.1% / 23.9% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 51.4% / 48.6% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 29.3% / 70.7% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 14.2% / 85.8% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 5.9% / 94.1% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
Shamrock Rovers have a slight edge over FC Ararat-Armenia in this UEFA Champions League qualifying tie, although the low confidence level points to a closely contested encounter rather than a clear home advantage. The available assessment gives the Irish side the stronger position, but FC Ararat-Armenia remain well within the competitive picture.
The match is projected to be medium-scoring, with both teams scoring viewed as an even possibility. The most likely scorelines indicate a narrow margin: 1-1, 1-0 to Shamrock Rovers, or 2-1 to the hosts. That range suggests a game where small details could determine the outcome, with Shamrock Rovers marginally better placed but no decisive separation between the sides.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.