Lincoln Red Imps — Mjallby AIF: Win probabilities, 28.07.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 35.5% |
| 12 | 79.5% | |
| X2 | 84.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 54.9% / 45.1% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 95.1% / 4.9% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 82.2% / 17.8% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 60.2% / 39.8% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 37.8% / 62.2% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 20.4% / 79.6% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 9.6% / 90.4% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
Lincoln Red Imps face Mjallby AIF in a UEFA Champions League qualification match where the visitors hold a clear, though not overwhelming, advantage. The available assessment points toward Mjallby AIF being the stronger side overall, while Lincoln Red Imps will need to make effective use of home advantage and remain disciplined against sustained pressure. The moderate confidence suggests that the balance is not entirely one-sided.
The match is projected to have a medium-scoring profile. A narrow Mjallby AIF victory appears consistent with the main scenarios, with scorelines such as 0-1 or 0-2, although a 1-1 draw is also within the range of plausible outcomes. Whether both teams score is difficult to separate, so Lincoln Red Imps retain a realistic route to contributing on the scoresheet. Overall, the analytical signal favours Mjallby AIF, but the visitors may need patience to turn their superiority into a result.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.