Match intelligence

Kuopion Palloseura — Sabah Masazir: Win probabilities, 28.07.2026

League: UEFA Champions League, Qualification · Kick-off:

Full time

Final result

✓ Prediction hit
Kuopion Palloseura0
:
2Sabah Masazir
Locked signal X2 Probability 67.5% Verdict Hit
Mathematical model

Win probabilities

Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin

Odds updated
W1 32.5% Home win Kuopion Palloseura
X 26.3% Draw
W2 41.2% Away win Sabah Masazir
Market matrix

Markets

Double chance
1273.7%
Both teams to score
Yes55.1%
Totals 2.5
Over50.8%

All calculated markets

MarketSelectionProbability
Double chance1X58.8%
1273.7%
X267.5%
Both teams to scoreYes/No55.1% / 44.9%
Totals 0.5 Over/Under 93.0% / 7.0%
Totals 1.5 Over/Under 75.6% / 24.4%
Totals 2.5 Over/Under 50.8% / 49.2%
Totals 3.5 Over/Under 28.8% / 71.2%
Totals 4.5 Over/Under 13.8% / 86.2%
Totals 5.5 Over/Under 5.7% / 94.3%
Goal distribution model

Score probability heatmap

Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally

Kuopion Palloseura × Sabah Masazir
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0 7.0%
0:1 9.3%
0:2 7.0%
0:3 3.4%
0:4 1.2%
0:5 0.4%
1
1:0 8.0%
1:1 12.5%
1:2 8.8%
1:3 4.3%
1:4 1.5%
1:5 0.4%
2
2:0 5.3%
2:1 7.7%
2:2 5.5%
2:3 2.7%
2:4 1.0%
2:5 0.3%
3
3:0 2.2%
3:1 3.2%
3:2 2.3%
3:3 1.1%
3:4 0.4%
3:5 0.1%
4
4:0 0.7%
4:1 1.0%
4:2 0.7%
4:3 0.4%
4:4 0.1%
4:5 0.0%
5
5:0 0.2%
5:1 0.3%
5:2 0.2%
5:3 0.1%
5:4 0.0%
5:5 0.0%
Most likely scores
1:112.5%
0:19.3%
1:28.8%
1:08.0%
2:17.7%
✦
AI analysis

Match preview

Model · GPT 5.6 Luna

Kuopion Palloseura and Sabah Masazir appear evenly matched ahead of their UEFA Champions League qualification meeting. The moderate confidence reflects a contest without a clear overall favorite, with the available signal pointing toward a result that protects the home side from defeat while leaving room for Sabah Masazir to compete effectively. Neither team has a decisive advantage in the information provided, so the match may be shaped by how each side manages the balance between initiative and defensive caution.

The scoring outlook is medium-scoring, suggesting a game with several meaningful attacking moments rather than either a completely open contest or a strongly defensive stalemate. Both teams scoring is difficult to separate, making that aspect a genuine coin flip. The most plausible scorelines include 1-1, 0-1, and 1-2, which underline the narrow margins involved and give Sabah Masazir a slight edge within an otherwise balanced matchup. A controlled start could be important before either side commits more players forward.

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How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.

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