FC Kairat Almaty — AC Omonia Nicosia: Win probabilities, 29.07.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 73.0% |
| 12 | 71.2% | |
| X2 | 55.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 48.8% / 51.2% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 90.1% / 9.9% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 70.1% / 29.9% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 43.1% / 56.9% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 22.2% / 77.8% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 9.6% / 90.4% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 3.6% / 96.4% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
FC Kairat Almaty meet AC Omonia Nicosia in the UEFA Champions League qualification, with the hosts holding a slight edge. The assessment points toward a closely contested match in which home advantage gives FC Kairat Almaty the stronger overall position, while AC Omonia Nicosia remain capable of keeping the tie balanced. The main signal supports the hosts avoiding defeat rather than a clear separation between the teams.
The game is expected to produce a moderate amount of attacking activity, but there is no strong indication that both sides will score. That makes the match difficult to separate, with a draw a realistic possibility alongside a narrow home win. A low-margin contest appears more likely than an open, one-sided performance, and the key question may be whether AC Omonia Nicosia can turn their resistance into a decisive attacking contribution.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.