Match intelligence

FK Kauno Zalgiris — KI Klaksvik: Win probabilities, 29.07.2026

League: UEFA Champions League, Qualification · Kick-off:

Full time

Final result

✓ Prediction hit
FK Kauno Zalgiris1
:
0KI Klaksvik
Locked signal W1 Probability 56.2% Verdict Hit
Mathematical model

Win probabilities

Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin

Odds updated
W1 56.2% Home win FK Kauno Zalgiris
X 26.4% Draw
W2 17.4% Away win KI Klaksvik
Market matrix

Markets

Double chance
1X84.2%
Both teams to score
No53.7%
Totals 2.5
Under55.4%

All calculated markets

MarketSelectionProbability
Double chance1X84.2%
1272.1%
X243.7%
Both teams to scoreYes/No46.3% / 53.7%
Totals 0.5 Over/Under 89.6% / 10.4%
Totals 1.5 Over/Under 72.4% / 27.6%
Totals 2.5 Over/Under 44.6% / 55.4%
Totals 3.5 Over/Under 23.4% / 76.6%
Totals 4.5 Over/Under 10.4% / 89.6%
Totals 5.5 Over/Under 4.0% / 96.0%
Goal distribution model

Score probability heatmap

Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally

FK Kauno Zalgiris × KI Klaksvik
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0 10.4%
0:1 4.9%
0:2 2.7%
0:3 0.7%
0:4 0.1%
0:5 0.0%
1
1:0 12.3%
1:1 13.2%
1:2 4.5%
1:3 1.2%
1:4 0.2%
1:5 0.0%
2
2:0 11.9%
2:1 9.4%
2:2 3.7%
2:3 1.0%
2:4 0.2%
2:5 0.0%
3
3:0 6.6%
3:1 5.2%
3:2 2.1%
3:3 0.6%
3:4 0.1%
3:5 0.0%
4
4:0 2.7%
4:1 2.2%
4:2 0.9%
4:3 0.2%
4:4 0.0%
4:5 0.0%
5
5:0 0.9%
5:1 0.7%
5:2 0.3%
5:3 0.1%
5:4 0.0%
5:5 0.0%
Most likely scores
1:113.2%
1:012.3%
2:011.9%
0:010.4%
2:19.4%
✦
AI analysis

Match preview

Model · GPT 5.6 Luna

FK Kauno Zalgiris hold a slight edge over KI Klaksvik in this UEFA Champions League qualifying tie, although the low confidence indicates a finely balanced contest rather than a clear advantage. The available assessment points toward a medium-scoring match, with the hosts marginally better placed to control the overall outcome.

Both teams have a realistic chance of finding the net, but the outlook on both teams scoring remains evenly split. The most plausible scorelines suggest a narrow FK Kauno Zalgiris win or a draw, with a controlled home performance potentially producing a clean sheet. KI Klaksvik should therefore remain competitive, particularly if they can keep the match level and avoid allowing the hosts to build sustained pressure.

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How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.

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