Match intelligence

FK Kauno Zalgiris — KI Klaksvik: Win probabilities, 29.07.2026

League: UEFA Champions League, Qualification · Kick-off:

Mathematical model

Win probabilities

Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin

Odds updated
X1 56.2% Home win FK Kauno Zalgiris
X 26.4% Draw
X2 17.4% Away win KI Klaksvik
Market matrix

Markets

Double chance
1X82.6%
Both teams to score
Yes50.2%
Totals 2.5
Under50.8%

All calculated markets

MarketSelectionProbability
Double chance1X82.6%
1273.6%
X243.8%
Both teams to scoreYes/No50.2% / 49.8%
Totals 0.5 Over/Under 91.4% / 8.6%
Totals 1.5 Over/Under 75.6% / 24.4%
Totals 2.5 Over/Under 49.2% / 50.8%
Totals 3.5 Over/Under 27.3% / 72.7%
Totals 4.5 Over/Under 12.8% / 87.2%
Totals 5.5 Over/Under 5.2% / 94.8%
Goal distribution model

Score probability heatmap

Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally

FK Kauno Zalgiris × KI Klaksvik
HomeAway
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0 8.6%
0:1 4.8%
0:2 2.8%
0:3 0.8%
0:4 0.2%
0:5 0.0%
1
1:0 11.0%
1:1 12.6%
1:2 4.9%
1:3 1.5%
1:4 0.3%
1:5 0.1%
2
2:0 10.9%
2:1 9.7%
2:2 4.3%
2:3 1.3%
2:4 0.3%
2:5 0.1%
3
3:0 6.4%
3:1 5.7%
3:2 2.5%
3:3 0.8%
3:4 0.2%
3:5 0.0%
4
4:0 2.8%
4:1 2.5%
4:2 1.1%
4:3 0.3%
4:4 0.1%
4:5 0.0%
5
5:0 1.0%
5:1 0.9%
5:2 0.4%
5:3 0.1%
5:4 0.0%
5:5 0.0%
Most likely scores
1:112.6%
1:011.0%
2:010.9%
2:19.7%
0:08.6%
AI analysis

Match preview

Model · GPT 5.6 Luna

FK Kauno Zalgiris hold a slight edge over KI Klaksvik in this UEFA Champions League qualifying tie, although the low confidence indicates a finely balanced contest rather than a clear advantage. The available assessment points toward a medium-scoring match, with the hosts marginally better placed to control the overall outcome.

Both teams have a realistic chance of finding the net, but the outlook on both teams scoring remains evenly split. The most plausible scorelines suggest a narrow FK Kauno Zalgiris win or a draw, with a controlled home performance potentially producing a clean sheet. KI Klaksvik should therefore remain competitive, particularly if they can keep the match level and avoid allowing the hosts to build sustained pressure.

Other matches

→ UEFA Champions League, Qualification

About the method

Prediction questions

We remove the bookmaker margin from market odds, estimate each team’s expected goals and build one matrix of possible scores. Outcomes, totals, both teams to score and likely scores all come from that matrix.

Fair odds are one divided by the probability of the main signal. They are a mathematical reference without bookmaker margin, not an offer from a particular bookmaker.

The official prediction is locked before kick-off and is never rewritten after publication. After the final whistle it is checked against the result and added to the public record.

AI does not calculate or change probabilities. It explains the mathematical output in plain language, and the model used is shown next to the analysis.

18+ All materials are informational and do not guarantee any outcome. Predictions are produced by an automated model; the method is described on the Method page. Responsible gambling