FK Crvena Zvezda Belgrade — Larne FC: Win probabilities, 29.07.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 98.4% |
| 12 | 95.3% | |
| X2 | 6.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 27.8% / 72.2% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 98.3% / 1.7% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 90.0% / 10.0% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 75.0% / 25.0% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 55.1% / 44.9% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 35.6% / 64.4% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 20.2% / 79.8% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
FK Crvena Zvezda Belgrade come into this UEFA Champions League qualifying tie as the clearly stronger side, with a high level of confidence behind the home outcome. Larne FC face a demanding task against opponents expected to control the match, particularly in an attacking context. The available assessment points toward a high-scoring game, while also suggesting that Crvena Zvezda may be capable of preventing Larne from finding the net.
The most consistent scoreline indications favour a comfortable home victory, with 3-0, 4-0 and 2-0 the leading possibilities. Those scenarios reflect a match in which FK Crvena Zvezda Belgrade can create sustained pressure and turn territorial control into several goals, while Larne FC may struggle to maintain a threat over the full contest. The central expectation is therefore a decisive home performance rather than an evenly balanced qualification match.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.