Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC — Vikingur Reykjavik: Win probabilities, 29.07.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 78.1% |
| 12 | 77.5% | |
| X2 | 44.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 61.0% / 39.0% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 95.4% / 4.6% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 83.5% / 16.5% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 62.2% / 37.8% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 39.9% / 60.1% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 22.1% / 77.9% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 10.6% / 89.4% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC welcome Vikingur Reykjavik in the UEFA Champions League qualification, with the hosts holding a clear but not overwhelming edge in the pre-match assessment. The expected profile is medium-scoring, suggesting a game where Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC may look to control the main phases and build pressure rather than rely on an open exchange from the start.
Vikingur Reykjavik still have a pathway into the contest, particularly if they can keep the match compact and make their opportunities count. The outlook for both teams scoring is finely balanced, so the visitors cannot be discounted despite Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC being rated stronger overall. The most plausible scorelines are 1-0 and 2-0 to the hosts, with 1-1 also reflecting the possibility of a closer encounter if Vikingur Reykjavik stay disciplined.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.