Seattle Sounders — CF Montreal: Win probabilities, 18.10.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
64.5%
Home win
Seattle Sounders
X
19.7%
Draw
W2
15.8%
Away win
CF Montreal
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
1X84.2%
Both teams to score
Yes60.6%
Totals 2.5
Over66.6%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 84.2% |
| 12 | 80.3% | |
| X2 | 35.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 60.6% / 39.4% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 96.2% / 3.8% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 86.2% / 13.8% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 66.6% / 33.4% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 44.8% / 55.2% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 26.1% / 73.9% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 13.3% / 86.7% |
Goal distribution model
Seattle Sounders × CF Montreal
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
3.8%
0:1
3.0%
0:2
1.9%
0:3
0.7%
0:4
0.2%
0:5
0.0%
1
1:0
7.0%
1:1
8.8%
1:2
4.5%
1:3
1.7%
1:4
0.5%
1:5
0.1%
2
2:0
8.8%
2:1
9.7%
2:2
5.3%
2:3
1.9%
2:4
0.5%
2:5
0.1%
3
3:0
6.9%
3:1
7.5%
3:2
4.1%
3:3
1.5%
3:4
0.4%
3:5
0.1%
4
4:0
4.0%
4:1
4.4%
4:2
2.4%
4:3
0.9%
4:4
0.2%
4:5
0.1%
5
5:0
1.9%
5:1
2.1%
5:2
1.1%
5:3
0.4%
5:4
0.1%
5:5
0.0%
Most likely scores
2:19.7%
2:08.8%
1:18.8%
3:17.5%
1:07.0%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 18.10.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 02.10.2026 home Sporting Kansas City 2:1
- 27.09.2026 home Minnesota United 3:1
- 24.09.2026 home Real Salt Lake 2:0
- 20.09.2026 away Colorado Rapids 3:3
- 13.09.2026 away Los Angeles Galaxy 1:1
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 27.09.2026 home FC Cincinnati 3:1
- 20.09.2026 home Columbus Crew 0:2
- 13.09.2026 away Colorado Rapids 0:1
- 10.09.2026 home Charlotte 1:2
- 06.09.2026 away Philadelphia Union 0:2
This season: Seattle Sounders at home vs CF Montreal away
| Metric | Seattle Sounders · at home | CF Montreal · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 14 | 13 |
| W–D–L | 7–3–4 | 2–1–10 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.64 | 1.15 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.43 | 2.77 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 77% |
| Both teams scored | 64% | 46% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
Seattle Sounders wins2
Draws1
CF Montreal wins3
Goals per match2.83
Both teams scored3/6
Over 2.5 goals4/6
- 07.04.2024 Seattle Sounders 5:0 CF Montreal
- 30.06.2022 Seattle Sounders 1:2 CF Montreal
- 06.06.2019 CF Montreal 2:1 Seattle Sounders
- 01.04.2018 Seattle Sounders 0:1 CF Montreal
- 12.03.2017 CF Montreal 2:2 Seattle Sounders
- 03.04.2016 Seattle Sounders 1:0 CF Montreal
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
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