Portland Timbers — Colorado Rapids: Win probabilities, 18.10.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
44.1%
Home win
Portland Timbers
X
23.9%
Draw
W2
32.0%
Away win
Colorado Rapids
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
1276.1%
Both teams to score
Yes67.3%
Totals 2.5
Over66.2%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 68.0% |
| 12 | 76.1% | |
| X2 | 55.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 67.3% / 32.7% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 95.9% / 4.1% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 86.2% / 13.8% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 66.2% / 33.8% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 44.3% / 55.7% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 25.7% / 74.3% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 13.0% / 87.0% |
Goal distribution model
Portland Timbers × Colorado Rapids
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
4.1%
0:1
4.4%
0:2
4.0%
0:3
2.1%
0:4
0.8%
0:5
0.3%
1
1:0
5.3%
1:1
10.3%
1:2
7.4%
1:3
3.9%
1:4
1.5%
1:5
0.5%
2
2:0
5.7%
2:1
8.8%
2:2
6.9%
2:3
3.6%
2:4
1.4%
2:5
0.4%
3
3:0
3.5%
3:1
5.4%
3:2
4.2%
3:3
2.2%
3:4
0.9%
3:5
0.3%
4
4:0
1.6%
4:1
2.5%
4:2
2.0%
4:3
1.0%
4:4
0.4%
4:5
0.1%
5
5:0
0.6%
5:1
0.9%
5:2
0.7%
5:3
0.4%
5:4
0.1%
5:5
0.0%
Most likely scores
1:110.3%
2:18.8%
1:27.4%
2:26.9%
2:05.7%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 18.10.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 27.09.2026 away San Jose Earthquakes 1:3
- 20.09.2026 home Atlanta Utd 0:1
- 13.09.2026 away FC Dallas 1:2
- 10.09.2026 home St. Louis City 2:2
- 06.09.2026 home Minnesota United 5:4
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 27.09.2026 away Los Angeles Galaxy 2:3
- 20.09.2026 home Seattle Sounders 3:3
- 13.09.2026 home CF Montreal 1:0
- 10.09.2026 away Austin FC 1:1
- 06.09.2026 away Columbus Crew 0:3
This season: Portland Timbers at home vs Colorado Rapids away
| Metric | Portland Timbers · at home | Colorado Rapids · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 14 | 14 |
| W–D–L | 7–3–4 | 2–2–10 |
| Goals scored per match | 2.21 | 0.93 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.79 | 1.86 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 86% | 57% |
| Both teams scored | 86% | 50% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
Portland Timbers wins4
Draws0
Colorado Rapids wins2
Goals per match3.50
Both teams scored4/6
Over 2.5 goals5/6
- 28.02.2026 Colorado Rapids 2:0 Portland Timbers
- 29.05.2025 Portland Timbers 2:1 Colorado Rapids
- 23.03.2025 Colorado Rapids 0:3 Portland Timbers
- 15.09.2024 Colorado Rapids 2:1 Portland Timbers
- 25.02.2024 Portland Timbers 4:1 Colorado Rapids
- 24.09.2023 Portland Timbers 3:2 Colorado Rapids
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
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