Los Angeles Galaxy — San Diego FC: Win probabilities, 18.10.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
50.0%
Home win
Los Angeles Galaxy
X
23.9%
Draw
W2
26.1%
Away win
San Diego FC
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
1276.1%
Both teams to score
Yes70.9%
Totals 2.5
Over71.2%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 73.9% |
| 12 | 76.1% | |
| X2 | 50.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 70.9% / 29.1% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 95.9% / 4.1% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 89.8% / 10.2% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 71.2% / 28.8% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 50.2% / 49.8% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 30.9% / 69.1% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 16.7% / 83.3% |
Goal distribution model
Los Angeles Galaxy × San Diego FC
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
4.1%
0:1
2.3%
0:2
3.0%
0:3
1.5%
0:4
0.6%
0:5
0.2%
1
1:0
3.8%
1:1
9.9%
1:2
6.4%
1:3
3.3%
1:4
1.3%
1:5
0.4%
2
2:0
5.8%
2:1
8.9%
2:2
6.8%
2:3
3.5%
2:4
1.4%
2:5
0.4%
3
3:0
4.1%
3:1
6.4%
3:2
4.9%
3:3
2.5%
3:4
1.0%
3:5
0.3%
4
4:0
2.2%
4:1
3.4%
4:2
2.6%
4:3
1.3%
4:4
0.5%
4:5
0.2%
5
5:0
0.9%
5:1
1.5%
5:2
1.1%
5:3
0.6%
5:4
0.2%
5:5
0.1%
Most likely scores
1:19.9%
2:18.9%
2:26.8%
1:26.4%
3:16.4%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 18.10.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 27.09.2026 home Colorado Rapids 3:2
- 20.09.2026 away Minnesota United 3:2
- 13.09.2026 home Seattle Sounders 1:1
- 10.09.2026 away Vancouver Whitecaps 0:3
- 06.09.2026 home New England Revolution 2:1
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 27.09.2026 away Austin FC 3:3
- 21.09.2026 away Inter Miami 2:2
- 14.09.2026 home Philadelphia Union 0:5
- 10.09.2026 home San Jose Earthquakes 2:3
- 06.09.2026 away Orlando City 0:1
This season: Los Angeles Galaxy at home vs San Diego FC away
| Metric | Los Angeles Galaxy · at home | San Diego FC · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 14 | 13 |
| W–D–L | 5–5–4 | 2–5–6 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.29 | 1.15 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.29 | 1.77 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 46% |
| Both teams scored | 71% | 54% |
Head-to-head · Last 3 meetings
Los Angeles Galaxy wins0
Draws0
San Diego FC wins3
Goals per match3.00
Both teams scored2/3
Over 2.5 goals2/3
- 30.08.2026 San Diego FC 3:1 Los Angeles Galaxy
- 24.05.2025 San Diego FC 2:1 Los Angeles Galaxy
- 24.02.2025 Los Angeles Galaxy 0:2 San Diego FC
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
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