Austin FC — Vancouver Whitecaps FC: Win probabilities, 18.10.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
18.6%
Home win
Austin FC
X
21.2%
Draw
W2
60.2%
Away win
Vancouver Whitecaps FC
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
X281.4%
Both teams to score
Yes63.9%
Totals 2.5
Over67.6%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 39.8% |
| 12 | 78.8% | |
| X2 | 81.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 63.9% / 36.1% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 96.1% / 3.9% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 87.1% / 12.9% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 67.6% / 32.4% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 45.9% / 54.1% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 27.1% / 72.9% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 14.0% / 86.0% |
Goal distribution model
Austin FC × Vancouver Whitecaps FC
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
3.9%
0:1
6.1%
0:2
7.9%
0:3
6.0%
0:4
3.4%
0:5
1.5%
1
1:0
2.9%
1:1
9.3%
1:2
9.6%
1:3
7.3%
1:4
4.1%
1:5
1.9%
2
2:0
2.3%
2:1
5.1%
2:2
5.8%
2:3
4.4%
2:4
2.5%
2:5
1.1%
3
3:0
0.9%
3:1
2.1%
3:2
2.4%
3:3
1.8%
3:4
1.0%
3:5
0.5%
4
4:0
0.3%
4:1
0.6%
4:2
0.7%
4:3
0.5%
4:4
0.3%
4:5
0.1%
5
5:0
0.1%
5:1
0.2%
5:2
0.2%
5:3
0.1%
5:4
0.1%
5:5
0.0%
Most likely scores
1:29.6%
1:19.3%
0:27.9%
1:37.3%
0:16.1%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 18.10.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 27.09.2026 home San Diego FC 3:3
- 20.09.2026 away FC Dallas 0:0
- 13.09.2026 away Vancouver Whitecaps 2:1
- 10.09.2026 home Colorado Rapids 1:1
- 06.09.2026 home San Jose Earthquakes 1:1
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 07.10.2026 away Chicago Fire 1:3
- 27.09.2026 home DC United 3:3
- 20.09.2026 away Real Salt Lake 3:0
- 13.09.2026 home Austin FC 1:2
- 10.09.2026 home Los Angeles Galaxy 3:0
This season: Austin FC at home vs Vancouver Whitecaps FC away
| Metric | Austin FC · at home | Vancouver Whitecaps FC · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 13 | 12 |
| W–D–L | 4–6–3 | 6–3–3 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.46 | 2.08 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.15 | 1.25 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 58% |
| Both teams scored | 69% | 58% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
Austin FC wins1
Draws2
Vancouver Whitecaps FC wins3
Goals per match2.17
Both teams scored3/6
Over 2.5 goals3/6
- 13.09.2026 Vancouver Whitecaps FC 1:2 Austin FC
- 18.05.2025 Austin FC 0:0 Vancouver Whitecaps FC
- 13.04.2025 Vancouver Whitecaps FC 5:1 Austin FC
- 01.09.2024 Austin FC 0:1 Vancouver Whitecaps FC
- 05.05.2024 Vancouver Whitecaps FC 0:0 Austin FC
- 13.07.2023 Vancouver Whitecaps FC 2:1 Austin FC
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
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