SE Palmeiras SP — SC Internacional RS: Win probabilities, 09.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 84.4% |
| 12 | 76.4% | |
| X2 | 39.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 52.0% / 48.0% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 93.1% / 6.9% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 78.8% / 21.2% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 54.2% / 45.8% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 31.9% / 68.1% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 16.0% / 84.0% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 7.0% / 93.0% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 09.08.2026
SE Palmeiras SP
1st place · 47 pts after 21Last 5 matches · latest first
- 30.07.2026 away Vitoria 4:0
- 26.07.2026 home Atletico-MG 1:2
- 22.07.2026 away Coritiba 3:1
- 31.05.2026 home Chapecoense-SC 1:0
- 24.05.2026 away Flamengo RJ 3:0
SC Internacional RS
17th place · 22 pts after 21Last 5 matches · latest first
- 29.07.2026 home Flamengo RJ 1:1
- 25.07.2026 away Athletico-PR 0:2
- 23.07.2026 home Cruzeiro 1:2
- 31.05.2026 away Bragantino 1:3
- 23.05.2026 away Vitoria 0:2
This season: SE Palmeiras SP at home vs SC Internacional RS away
| Metric | SE Palmeiras SP · at home | SC Internacional RS · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 10 | 10 |
| W–D–L | 7–2–1 | 2–4–4 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.70 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.80 | 1.50 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 60% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 13.02.2026 SC Internacional RS 1:3 SE Palmeiras SP
- 13.09.2025 SE Palmeiras SP 4:1 SC Internacional RS
- 16.04.2025 SC Internacional RS 0:1 SE Palmeiras SP
- 04.08.2024 SC Internacional RS 1:1 SE Palmeiras SP
- 18.04.2024 SE Palmeiras SP 0:1 SC Internacional RS
- 12.11.2023 SE Palmeiras SP 3:0 SC Internacional RS
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
SE Palmeiras SP have a moderate but clear analytical edge over SC Internacional RS in this Brasileiro Serie A meeting. The outlook points towards a medium-scoring match, with the home side better positioned overall but without enough separation to make the result certain.
The scoring pattern remains open to interpretation: both teams scoring is considered finely balanced. Possible match scenarios include a tight 1-0 result, a more controlled 2-0 home victory, or a 1-1 draw if SC Internacional RS can withstand the home pressure and contribute on the scoresheet.
What matters before kick-off
Palmeiras' record-breaking campaign
Palmeiras enters the match against Internacional recording their best-ever Série A points-tally campaign in the round-robin era, securing 47 points from their opening 21 games.
Copa do Brasil progression
Both clubs enter round 22 of Série A following qualification for the Copa do Brasil quarter-finals, with Palmeiras overcoming Fortaleza and Internacional knocking out Corinthians.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.