SCU Torreense — FC Ararat-Armenia: Win probabilities, 05.11.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
56.0%
Home win
SCU Torreense
X
23.9%
Draw
W2
20.1%
Away win
FC Ararat-Armenia
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
1X79.9%
Both teams to score
Yes50.2%
Totals 2.5
Under50.1%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 79.9% |
| 12 | 76.1% | |
| X2 | 44.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 50.2% / 49.8% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 92.9% / 7.1% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 74.7% / 25.3% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 49.9% / 50.1% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 27.9% / 72.1% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 13.2% / 86.8% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 5.4% / 94.6% |
Goal distribution model
SCU Torreense × FC Ararat-Armenia
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
7.1%
0:1
6.4%
0:2
3.0%
0:3
1.0%
0:4
0.2%
0:5
0.0%
1
1:0
11.9%
1:1
11.4%
1:2
5.3%
1:3
1.6%
1:4
0.4%
1:5
0.1%
2
2:0
10.4%
2:1
9.7%
2:2
4.6%
2:3
1.4%
2:4
0.3%
2:5
0.1%
3
3:0
6.0%
3:1
5.6%
3:2
2.6%
3:3
0.8%
3:4
0.2%
3:5
0.0%
4
4:0
2.6%
4:1
2.4%
4:2
1.1%
4:3
0.4%
4:4
0.1%
4:5
0.0%
5
5:0
0.9%
5:1
0.8%
5:2
0.4%
5:3
0.1%
5:4
0.0%
5:5
0.0%
Most likely scores
1:011.9%
1:111.4%
2:010.4%
2:19.7%
0:07.1%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 05.11.2026
SCU Torreense
Last 3 matches · latest first
- 22.10.2026 away Ferencvarosi Budapest 1:4
- 15.10.2026 home Sunderland AFC 1:2
- 17.09.2026 away Lillestroem SK 2:1
FC Ararat-Armenia
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 22.10.2026 home AZ Alkmaar 0:4
- 15.10.2026 away Jagiellonia Bialystok 1:3
- 16.09.2026 home Sparta Prague 1:4
- 11.08.2026 away NK Celje 0:2
- 04.08.2026 home NK Celje 2:1
Head-to-head
No previous meetings found in the available data.
Sources: oddmind.app. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
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How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.