Schalke 04 — SV 07 Elversberg: Win probabilities, 20.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 76.2% |
| 12 | 76.2% | |
| X2 | 47.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 64.4% / 35.6% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 95.3% / 4.7% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 85.5% / 14.5% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 64.5% / 35.5% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 42.4% / 57.6% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 24.1% / 75.9% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 12.0% / 88.0% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 20.09.2026
Schalke 04
11th place · 4 pts after 3Last 5 matches · latest first
- 11.09.2026 away Union Berlin 3:1
- 05.09.2026 home Bayern Munich 0:0
- 30.08.2026 away Augsburg 0:3
- 17.05.2026 home Braunschweig 1:0
- 09.05.2026 away Nurnberg 0:3
SV 07 Elversberg
8th place · 6 pts after 3Last 5 matches · latest first
- 13.09.2026 home Bayern Munich 1:2
- 05.09.2026 away M'gladbach 4:3
- 29.08.2026 home Leverkusen 3:2
- 17.05.2026 home Preußen Münster 3:0
- 10.05.2026 away Fortuna Dusseldorf 1:3
This season: Schalke 04 at home vs SV 07 Elversberg away
| Metric | Schalke 04 · at home | SV 07 Elversberg · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 1 | 1 |
| W–D–L | 0–1–0 | 1–0–0 |
| Goals scored per match | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| xG for per match | 0.21 | 2.31 |
| xG against per match | 1.94 | 2.37 |
| Shots on target per match | 1.00 | 10.00 |
| Corners per match | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 100% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 12.04.2026 SV 07 Elversberg 1:2 Schalke 04
- 08.11.2025 Schalke 04 1:0 SV 07 Elversberg
- 18.05.2025 Schalke 04 1:2 SV 07 Elversberg
- 20.12.2024 SV 07 Elversberg 1:4 Schalke 04
- 19.04.2024 SV 07 Elversberg 1:1 Schalke 04
- 10.11.2023 Schalke 04 1:2 SV 07 Elversberg
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Schalke 04 have a slight edge over SV 07 Elversberg in this Bundesliga meeting, although the outlook points toward a competitive contest rather than a one-sided performance. The hosts are expected to have the stronger overall position, but SV 07 Elversberg retain enough attacking potential to remain a serious threat throughout the match.
The scoring outlook is high, with both teams likely to find the net. That combination suggests an open game in which defensive control may be difficult to maintain for either side. A draw remains a realistic alternative, particularly if the visitors make effective use of their opportunities, while the most plausible scorelines include 1:1, 2:1 and 2:2. Overall, the analysis leans toward Schalke 04 avoiding defeat, with the home side holding the clearer edge in a match that could produce several goals.
What matters before kick-off
Schalke 04 recent result
Schalke 04 head into Matchday 4 of the Bundesliga following a 3-1 road victory against Union Berlin in their last league outing.
Elversberg recent result
SV Elversberg suffered a narrow 2-1 home defeat against Bayern Munich in their previous league match.
Schalke 04 team news
Schalke 04 are set to be without Højlund and Ljubičić due to injuries for this match.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.