SC Telstar — Sparta Rotterdam: Win probabilities, 14.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 72.8% |
| 12 | 75.1% | |
| X2 | 52.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 65.4% / 34.6% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 95.0% / 5.0% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 85.4% / 14.6% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 64.0% / 36.0% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 41.9% / 58.1% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 23.7% / 76.3% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 11.7% / 88.3% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 14.08.2026
SC Telstar
5th place · 3 pts after 1Last 5 matches · latest first
- 08.08.2026 away Nijmegen 2:1
- 17.05.2026 away Volendam 2:1
- 10.05.2026 home Heracles 3:0
- 02.05.2026 away Nijmegen 1:1
- 22.04.2026 home Sparta Rotterdam 4:1
Sparta Rotterdam
14th place · 0 pts after 1Last 5 matches · latest first
- 09.08.2026 home Feyenoord 0:1
- 17.05.2026 home Excelsior 2:3
- 10.05.2026 away Twente 0:4
- 03.05.2026 home Go Ahead Eagles 2:2
- 22.04.2026 away Telstar 1:4
Head-to-head · Last 2 meetings
- 22.04.2026 SC Telstar 4:1 Sparta Rotterdam
- 25.10.2025 Sparta Rotterdam 1:0 SC Telstar
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
SC Telstar host Sparta Rotterdam in an Eredivisie meeting that points towards an open and competitive contest. The available assessment gives SC Telstar a slight edge, with high confidence, but the balance is not strong enough to remove the possibility of a draw or an away win. The central expectation is that both sides will create meaningful attacking moments rather than settling into a purely cautious approach.
The match is rated as likely to produce several goals, and both teams are considered likely to score. That combination should make the game particularly sensitive to the opening phase: an early breakthrough could encourage a more expansive contest, while a level score would still leave both sides with a realistic route to victory. The most plausible scorelines include 1-1, 2-1, and 1-2, underlining the narrow margin between SC Telstar and Sparta Rotterdam despite the hosts holding the clearer overall signal.
What matters before kick-off
Eredivisie opening matchday results
SC Telstar started the new Eredivisie campaign with a 2-1 away win against NEC Nijmegen. Sparta Rotterdam opened their season with a 1-0 home defeat against Feyenoord.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.