ADO Den Haag — FC Groningen: Win probabilities, 16.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 61.9% |
| 12 | 74.7% | |
| X2 | 63.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 62.6% / 37.4% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.8% / 5.2% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 82.1% / 17.9% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 59.7% / 40.3% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 37.4% / 62.6% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 20.1% / 79.9% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 9.4% / 90.6% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 16.08.2026
ADO Den Haag
14th place · 0 pts after 1Last 5 matches · latest first
- 08.08.2026 away AZ Alkmaar 0:2
- 16.05.2021 away Twente 2:3
- 13.05.2021 home Willem II 1:4
- 09.05.2021 away Zwolle 1:0
- 02.05.2021 home Feyenoord 3:2
FC Groningen
9th place · 3 pts after 1Last 5 matches · latest first
- 09.08.2026 home Utrecht 2:1
- 17.05.2026 away Heracles 2:1
- 10.05.2026 home Nijmegen 2:1
- 02.05.2026 home Excelsior 2:3
- 25.04.2026 away Feyenoord 1:3
Head-to-head · Last 3 meetings
- 26.01.2021 FC Groningen 3:0 ADO Den Haag
- 20.09.2020 ADO Den Haag 0:1 FC Groningen
- 14.12.2019 ADO Den Haag 1:1 FC Groningen
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
ADO Den Haag and FC Groningen appear evenly matched ahead of their Eredivisie meeting. The assessment carries moderate confidence, with neither side holding a decisive advantage. The overall outlook points to an open contest in which both teams are likely to find the net, suggesting that defensive control may be difficult to maintain for long periods.
The most plausible scorelines reflect a closely balanced game, with 1:1 the central scenario and narrow wins for either ADO Den Haag or FC Groningen also in consideration. That range indicates limited separation between the teams, while the high-scoring profile leaves room for the match to shift quickly after the first goal. FC Groningen have a slight edge in the broader result signal, particularly because the assessment favours an outcome in which they avoid defeat, but the draw remains a substantial possibility.
What matters before kick-off
ADO Den Haag move training behind closed doors following lineup leak
ADO Den Haag head coach Robin Peter confirmed the club adopted a closed-door training policy ahead of their match against FC Groningen after their starting lineup was leaked online.
Opening round Eredivisie results for both clubs
On the opening matchday of the 2026-27 Eredivisie season, ADO Den Haag suffered a 2-0 defeat to AZ, while FC Groningen began their campaign with a victory over FC Utrecht.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.