FC Twente Enschede — PEC Zwolle: Win probabilities, 16.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 90.5% |
| 12 | 86.0% | |
| X2 | 23.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 55.1% / 44.9% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 97.5% / 2.5% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 87.8% / 12.2% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 70.5% / 29.5% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 49.5% / 50.5% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 30.2% / 69.8% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 16.2% / 83.8% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 16.08.2026
FC Twente Enschede
13th place · 0 pts after 1Last 5 matches · latest first
- 09.08.2026 away Heerenveen 0:1
- 17.05.2026 away PSV Eindhoven 1:5
- 10.05.2026 home Sparta Rotterdam 4:0
- 03.05.2026 away AZ Alkmaar 2:2
- 25.04.2026 home Nijmegen 1:1
PEC Zwolle
15th place · 0 pts after 1Last 5 matches · latest first
- 09.08.2026 home Ajax 0:2
- 17.05.2026 home Feyenoord 0:2
- 10.05.2026 away For Sittard 2:3
- 03.05.2026 home Heracles 1:0
- 23.04.2026 away PSV Eindhoven 1:6
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 10.01.2026 FC Twente Enschede 1:1 PEC Zwolle
- 10.08.2025 PEC Zwolle 1:0 FC Twente Enschede
- 13.04.2025 PEC Zwolle 1:1 FC Twente Enschede
- 14.09.2024 FC Twente Enschede 1:1 PEC Zwolle
- 19.05.2024 PEC Zwolle 1:2 FC Twente Enschede
- 20.08.2023 FC Twente Enschede 3:1 PEC Zwolle
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
FC Twente Enschede enter this Eredivisie meeting with a clear advantage over PEC Zwolle. The available assessment rates the hosts as clearly stronger, with high confidence, making FC Twente Enschede the more convincing side on the pre-match outlook. PEC Zwolle face a demanding task, particularly if the home team can impose its quality and control the main phases of play.
The scoring outlook points towards an open and potentially high-scoring match rather than a cautious contest. The most likely scorelines favour FC Twente Enschede, with outcomes such as 2-0, 3-0 and 2-1 all indicating a home victory. At the same time, whether both teams score remains difficult to separate, so PEC Zwolle cannot be entirely discounted in the attacking exchanges. Overall, the balance of the analysis is firmly with FC Twente Enschede, while the precise margin and PEC Zwolle’s contribution remain the main uncertainties.
What matters before kick-off
FC Twente squad absences
Defenders Stav Lemkin and Aske Adelgaard are sidelined through injury.
PEC Zwolle missing players
Sherel Floranus is suspended, while Younes Namli, Tobias Sommer, and Duke Verduin are out with injuries.
Opening matchday results
Both teams started their league campaigns with losses, as FC Twente fell to Heerenveen and PEC Zwolle suffered a 2-0 defeat against Ajax.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.