Fortuna Sittard — SC Cambuur: Win probabilities, 15.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 82.7% |
| 12 | 77.5% | |
| X2 | 39.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 62.6% / 37.4% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 95.2% / 4.8% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 86.6% / 13.4% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 65.8% / 34.2% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 43.9% / 56.1% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 25.3% / 74.7% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 12.8% / 87.2% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 15.08.2026
Fortuna Sittard
11th place · 1 pts after 1Last 5 matches · latest first
- 08.08.2026 away PSV Eindhoven 2:2
- 17.05.2026 away Utrecht 0:2
- 10.05.2026 home Zwolle 3:2
- 03.05.2026 home Feyenoord 1:2
- 25.04.2026 away Heerenveen 1:2
SC Cambuur
18th place · 0 pts after 1Last 5 matches · latest first
- 07.08.2026 home Excelsior 0:4
- 28.05.2023 home Waalwijk 4:0
- 21.05.2023 away Sparta Rotterdam 1:4
- 14.05.2023 away Vitesse 0:2
- 06.05.2023 home Utrecht 0:3
Head-to-head · Last 4 meetings
- 29.01.2023 SC Cambuur 1:2 Fortuna Sittard
- 20.08.2022 Fortuna Sittard 1:4 SC Cambuur
- 26.02.2022 SC Cambuur 2:1 Fortuna Sittard
- 16.10.2021 Fortuna Sittard 1:0 SC Cambuur
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Fortuna Sittard go into this Eredivisie meeting with a clear advantage over SC Cambuur, although the moderate confidence level suggests the gap should not be overstated. The available assessment points towards a high-scoring match, with Fortuna Sittard better placed to control the overall outcome but SC Cambuur still carrying a credible attacking threat.
Both teams are considered likely to score, making an open contest more plausible than a tightly contained one. The projected scorelines of 1:1, 2:1 and 2:0 reflect that balance: Fortuna Sittard have the stronger result profile, while SC Cambuur remain capable of contributing to the score. The main analytical signal is therefore both teams to score, with the hosts holding a slight-to-clear edge in the match outcome rather than a decisive one.
What matters before kick-off
Fortuna Sittard draw against PSV
Fortuna Sittard started their new Eredivisie season with an away draw against champions PSV thanks to a late equalising goal.
Cambuur opening match loss
SBV Excelsior secured a 3-0 victory against SC Cambuur in the opening match of the new Eredivisie season.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.