Feyenoord Rotterdam — Go Ahead Eagles: Win probabilities, 16.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 91.7% |
| 12 | 86.8% | |
| X2 | 21.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 56.5% / 43.5% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 97.7% / 2.3% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 89.9% / 10.1% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 73.9% / 26.1% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 53.7% / 46.3% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 34.2% / 65.8% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 19.2% / 80.8% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 16.08.2026
Feyenoord Rotterdam
11th place · 3 pts after 1Last 5 matches · latest first
- 09.08.2026 away Sparta Rotterdam 1:0
- 17.05.2026 away Zwolle 2:0
- 10.05.2026 home AZ Alkmaar 1:1
- 03.05.2026 away For Sittard 2:1
- 25.04.2026 home Groningen 3:1
Go Ahead Eagles
5th place · 3 pts after 1Last 5 matches · latest first
- 08.08.2026 home Willem II 4:1
- 17.05.2026 away Nijmegen 1:2
- 10.05.2026 home PSV Eindhoven 1:4
- 03.05.2026 away Sparta Rotterdam 2:2
- 23.04.2026 home AZ Alkmaar 0:0
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 15.02.2026 Feyenoord Rotterdam 1:0 Go Ahead Eagles
- 09.11.2025 Go Ahead Eagles 2:1 Feyenoord Rotterdam
- 30.03.2025 Feyenoord Rotterdam 3:2 Go Ahead Eagles
- 19.10.2024 Go Ahead Eagles 1:5 Feyenoord Rotterdam
- 25.04.2024 Go Ahead Eagles 1:3 Feyenoord Rotterdam
- 30.09.2023 Feyenoord Rotterdam 3:1 Go Ahead Eagles
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Feyenoord Rotterdam enter this Eredivisie meeting with Go Ahead Eagles as the clearly stronger side, and the high confidence in the home outcome points to a noticeable difference in overall strength. The available assessment favours Feyenoord Rotterdam to control more of the match, create the better opportunities and put sustained pressure on the visitors. Go Ahead Eagles should nevertheless have periods in which they can threaten, particularly if they find space during transitions.
The scoring outlook is high, suggesting an open contest rather than a tightly contained encounter. Both teams are considered likely to score, so Go Ahead Eagles may contribute to the match even if Feyenoord Rotterdam remain in the stronger position. The main analytical signal supports a home win, with the most plausible scorelines indicating Feyenoord Rotterdam could prevail by a narrow or moderate margin. The key question is whether Go Ahead Eagles can turn their attacking moments into enough goals to keep the result uncertain deep into the game.
What matters before kick-off
Eredivisie opening match results
Feyenoord started their new Eredivisie campaign with a 1-0 away victory against Sparta Rotterdam. Go Ahead Eagles won their opening round match 4-1 at home against Willem II.
Watanabe returns to Feyenoord line-up
Feyenoord defender Tsuyoshi Watanabe recovered from a collarbone issue suffered against Atalanta in pre-season to return to the starting line-up. The Japanese center-back missed the opening match against Sparta due to the injury.
Absentees for both sides
Feyenoord enter the match without defenders Thomas Beelen, Gijs Smal, Bart Nieuwkoop and Jordan Bos, as well as midfielder Jakub Moder. Go Ahead Eagles are missing Gerrit Nauber, Pim Saathof and Robbin Weijenberg through injury.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.