SC Telstar — SC Cambuur: Win probabilities, 06.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 79.0% |
| 12 | 79.0% | |
| X2 | 41.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 67.2% / 32.8% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 96.7% / 3.3% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 88.5% / 11.5% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 70.4% / 29.6% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 49.3% / 50.7% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 30.1% / 69.9% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 16.1% / 83.9% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 06.09.2026
SC Telstar
14th place · 3 pts after 3Last 5 matches · latest first
- 30.08.2026 home Ajax 0:4
- 14.08.2026 home Sparta Rotterdam 1:3
- 08.08.2026 away Nijmegen 2:1
- 17.05.2026 away Volendam 2:1
- 10.05.2026 home Heracles 3:0
SC Cambuur
18th place · 0 pts after 4Last 5 matches · latest first
- 30.08.2026 home Twente 1:4
- 23.08.2026 home Feyenoord 2:5
- 15.08.2026 away For Sittard 1:3
- 07.08.2026 home Excelsior 0:4
- 28.05.2023 home Waalwijk 4:0
This season: SC Telstar at home vs SC Cambuur away
| Metric | SC Telstar · at home | SC Cambuur · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 2 | 1 |
| W–D–L | 0–0–2 | 0–0–1 |
| Goals scored per match | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 3.50 | 3.00 |
| xG for per match | 1.28 | 2.50 |
| xG against per match | 2.61 | 1.91 |
| Shots on target per match | 2.50 | 7.00 |
| Corners per match | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 100% |
Head-to-head
No previous meetings found in the available data.
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
SC Telstar meet SC Cambuur in the Eredivisie on 6 September 2026, with the available assessment giving the hosts a moderate but clear edge. The expected profile is open rather than cautious, pointing towards a high-scoring contest in which both teams are likely to find the net. That makes the match difficult to frame as a one-sided defensive battle, even though SC Telstar are rated as the stronger side.
The projected scorelines reflect that balance: a narrow home win and a draw both feature prominently, while a home victory without conceding is also considered possible. SC Cambuur therefore remain capable of keeping the game competitive, particularly if they can take advantage of the open rhythm suggested by the scoring outlook. Overall, SC Telstar have the stronger position before kickoff, but the assessment favours an entertaining match with several plausible outcomes rather than a result that can be treated as certain.
What matters before kick-off
Team availability updates
SC Telstar defender Marvin Peersman is sidelined, while SC Cambuur are missing injured midfielders Wout Asselman and Daan Visser.
Sold-out away sector for Cambuur
SC Cambuur will be supported in Velsen-Zuid by a fully sold-out away section of 400 travelling supporters.
Match referee appointment
Joey Kooij has been appointed to referee the match between SC Telstar and SC Cambuur at BUKO Stadion.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.