FC Utrecht — Go Ahead Eagles: Win probabilities, 05.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 68.3% |
| 12 | 76.6% | |
| X2 | 55.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 66.1% / 33.9% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 96.1% / 3.9% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 85.3% / 14.7% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 65.2% / 34.8% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 43.2% / 56.8% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 24.8% / 75.2% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 12.4% / 87.6% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 05.09.2026
FC Utrecht
17th place · 1 pts after 4Last 5 matches · latest first
- 30.08.2026 home PSV Eindhoven 1:6
- 22.08.2026 away Sparta Rotterdam 3:3
- 15.08.2026 home AZ Alkmaar 1:4
- 09.08.2026 away Groningen 1:2
- 17.05.2026 home For Sittard 2:0
Go Ahead Eagles
7th place · 7 pts after 4Last 5 matches · latest first
- 29.08.2026 away AZ Alkmaar 2:5
- 23.08.2026 home Den Haag 3:1
- 16.08.2026 away Feyenoord 2:2
- 08.08.2026 home Willem II 4:1
- 17.05.2026 away Nijmegen 1:2
This season: FC Utrecht at home vs Go Ahead Eagles away
| Metric | FC Utrecht · at home | Go Ahead Eagles · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 2 | 2 |
| W–D–L | 0–0–2 | 0–1–1 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 5.00 | 3.50 |
| xG for per match | 0.61 | 1.67 |
| xG against per match | 2.84 | 2.64 |
| Shots on target per match | 1.50 | 5.00 |
| Corners per match | 1.50 | 5.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 100% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 22.03.2026 FC Utrecht 2:0 Go Ahead Eagles
- 30.11.2025 Go Ahead Eagles 2:2 FC Utrecht
- 06.04.2025 Go Ahead Eagles 2:2 FC Utrecht
- 15.12.2024 FC Utrecht 3:3 Go Ahead Eagles
- 14.04.2024 FC Utrecht 2:1 Go Ahead Eagles
- 10.12.2023 Go Ahead Eagles 0:2 FC Utrecht
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
FC Utrecht have a slight edge over Go Ahead Eagles in this Eredivisie meeting, although the moderate confidence suggests a competitive contest rather than a one-sided affair. The available assessment points towards a match in which the hosts may be better placed to control key phases, but Go Ahead Eagles should have sufficient attacking threat to remain involved throughout.
The outlook is for an open, high-scoring game, with both teams likely to score. That makes the home advantage relevant, but not decisive, as the visitors could create problems if FC Utrecht leave space in transition or fail to manage the tempo. Overall, the balance favours FC Utrecht, while the draw remains a realistic outcome and Go Ahead Eagles retain a credible route to taking something from the match.
What matters before kick-off
Heavy defeats in previous round
Both sides head into the encounter following heavy league defeats, as FC Utrecht suffered a 6-1 home loss against PSV Eindhoven while Go Ahead Eagles fell 5-2 away to AZ Alkmaar.
FC Utrecht unbeaten in recent head-to-head clashes
FC Utrecht are unbeaten in their last four Eredivisie meetings against Go Ahead Eagles.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.