NEC Nijmegen — Feyenoord Rotterdam: Win probabilities, 05.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 56.3% |
| 12 | 75.3% | |
| X2 | 68.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 71.2% / 28.8% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 95.8% / 4.2% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 89.2% / 10.8% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 70.2% / 29.8% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 49.1% / 50.9% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 29.9% / 70.1% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 16.0% / 84.0% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 05.09.2026
NEC Nijmegen
5th place · 7 pts after 4Last 5 matches · latest first
- 29.08.2026 away Zwolle 3:1
- 22.08.2026 home Excelsior 0:0
- 15.08.2026 away Willem II 4:1
- 08.08.2026 home Telstar 1:2
- 17.05.2026 home Go Ahead Eagles 2:1
Feyenoord Rotterdam
3rd place · 8 pts after 4Last 5 matches · latest first
- 30.08.2026 home Den Haag 2:2
- 23.08.2026 away Cambuur 5:2
- 16.08.2026 home Go Ahead Eagles 2:2
- 09.08.2026 away Sparta Rotterdam 1:0
- 17.05.2026 away Zwolle 2:0
This season: NEC Nijmegen at home vs Feyenoord Rotterdam away
| Metric | NEC Nijmegen · at home | Feyenoord Rotterdam · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 2 | 2 |
| W–D–L | 0–1–1 | 2–0–0 |
| Goals scored per match | 0.50 | 3.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| xG for per match | 2.15 | 3.05 |
| xG against per match | 1.66 | 1.04 |
| Shots on target per match | 4.00 | 6.50 |
| Corners per match | 13.00 | 6.50 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 50% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 12.04.2026 NEC Nijmegen 1:1 Feyenoord Rotterdam
- 23.11.2025 Feyenoord Rotterdam 2:4 NEC Nijmegen
- 01.03.2025 Feyenoord Rotterdam 0:0 NEC Nijmegen
- 28.09.2024 NEC Nijmegen 1:1 Feyenoord Rotterdam
- 12.05.2024 NEC Nijmegen 2:3 Feyenoord Rotterdam
- 14.01.2024 Feyenoord Rotterdam 2:2 NEC Nijmegen
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
NEC Nijmegen host Feyenoord Rotterdam in an Eredivisie meeting that points towards an open contest. The available assessment suggests a high-scoring game, with both teams likely to find the net. That makes the attacking phases particularly important, while defensive stability could determine whether the match remains balanced or develops into a more decisive result.
Feyenoord Rotterdam hold a slight edge, although the moderate confidence indicates that the difference between the sides is not overwhelming. NEC Nijmegen should remain competitive, especially if they can turn their attacking opportunities into sustained pressure. The BTTS signal reinforces the expectation of chances at both ends rather than a tightly controlled match dominated by one team. Overall, Feyenoord Rotterdam appear marginally better placed, but the shape of the game could remain uncertain deep into the contest.
What matters before kick-off
Eredivisie Round 5 Fixture
NEC Nijmegen host Feyenoord at the Goffertstadion in a round five Eredivisie fixture on September 5, 2026.
Team Availability and Absences
NEC Nijmegen enter the match without Philippe Sandler and Darko Nejasmic, while Feyenoord report absences including Bart Nieuwkoop, Jerry St. Juste, and Gijs Smal.
Recent League Results
Ahead of the fixture, NEC Nijmegen secured a 3-1 away win against Zwolle, while Feyenoord came back to draw 2-2 against Den Haag.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.