FC Groningen — FC Twente Enschede: Win probabilities, 06.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 49.6% |
| 12 | 77.0% | |
| X2 | 73.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 67.3% / 32.7% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 96.1% / 3.9% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 87.1% / 12.9% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 67.6% / 32.4% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 46.0% / 54.0% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 27.2% / 72.8% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 14.0% / 86.0% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 06.09.2026
FC Groningen
10th place · 6 pts after 4Last 5 matches · latest first
- 28.08.2026 home For Sittard 2:3
- 23.08.2026 away PSV Eindhoven 1:5
- 16.08.2026 away Den Haag 4:1
- 09.08.2026 home Utrecht 2:1
- 17.05.2026 away Heracles 2:1
FC Twente Enschede
9th place · 6 pts after 3Last 5 matches · latest first
- 30.08.2026 away Cambuur 4:1
- 16.08.2026 home Zwolle 3:1
- 09.08.2026 away Heerenveen 0:1
- 17.05.2026 away PSV Eindhoven 1:5
- 10.05.2026 home Sparta Rotterdam 4:0
This season: FC Groningen at home vs FC Twente Enschede away
| Metric | FC Groningen · at home | FC Twente Enschede · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 2 | 2 |
| W–D–L | 1–0–1 | 1–0–1 |
| Goals scored per match | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| xG for per match | 1.57 | 1.77 |
| xG against per match | 1.58 | 0.43 |
| Shots on target per match | 3.50 | 6.50 |
| Corners per match | 6.00 | 8.50 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 50% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 22.02.2026 FC Twente Enschede 2:1 FC Groningen
- 02.11.2025 FC Groningen 1:1 FC Twente Enschede
- 01.03.2025 FC Groningen 1:1 FC Twente Enschede
- 15.12.2024 FC Twente Enschede 2:0 FC Groningen
- 05.02.2023 FC Groningen 1:1 FC Twente Enschede
- 16.10.2022 FC Twente Enschede 3:0 FC Groningen
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
FC Groningen face FC Twente Enschede in an Eredivisie meeting that points toward an open and competitive contest. The attacking outlook is strong, with both teams likely to score, suggesting that neither side is expected to spend the match focused solely on control or defensive caution. That should create opportunities at both ends and make the balance of the game difficult to maintain for long periods.
The assessment gives FC Twente Enschede a slight edge, with the visitors showing the stronger overall signal while a draw also remains a credible possibility. FC Groningen should have enough attacking threat to stay involved, but FC Twente Enschede appear better placed to turn the match in their favour if they manage the key moments more effectively. A scoreline such as 1:1 or 1:2 fits the projected pattern, although 2:1 also reflects the competitive nature of the fixture.
What matters before kick-off
FC Twente injury absences
FC Twente enter the match without Kristian Hlynsson and Stav Lemkin due to injury.
FC Groningen squad absences
FC Groningen face significant squad issues, missing five players for the clash against FC Twente.
FC Twente away run at Euroborg
FC Twente have not managed an away win against FC Groningen at Euroborg Stadium since 2019.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.