ADO Den Haag — Fortuna Sittard: Win probabilities, 06.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 72.5% |
| 12 | 76.9% | |
| X2 | 50.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 67.9% / 32.1% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 96.2% / 3.8% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 87.3% / 12.7% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 68.1% / 31.9% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 46.5% / 53.5% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 27.6% / 72.4% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 14.4% / 85.6% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 06.09.2026
ADO Den Haag
15th place · 1 pts after 4Last 5 matches · latest first
- 30.08.2026 away Feyenoord 2:2
- 23.08.2026 away Go Ahead Eagles 1:3
- 16.08.2026 home Groningen 1:4
- 08.08.2026 away AZ Alkmaar 0:2
- 16.05.2021 away Twente 2:3
Fortuna Sittard
8th place · 7 pts after 4Last 5 matches · latest first
- 28.08.2026 away Groningen 3:2
- 22.08.2026 home AZ Alkmaar 0:2
- 15.08.2026 home Cambuur 3:1
- 08.08.2026 away PSV Eindhoven 2:2
- 17.05.2026 away Utrecht 0:2
This season: ADO Den Haag at home vs Fortuna Sittard away
| Metric | ADO Den Haag · at home | Fortuna Sittard · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 1 | 2 |
| W–D–L | 0–0–1 | 1–1–0 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.00 | 2.50 |
| Goals conceded per match | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| xG for per match | 1.01 | 0.95 |
| xG against per match | 3.20 | 1.95 |
| Shots on target per match | 4.00 | 5.50 |
| Corners per match | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 100% |
Head-to-head · Last 3 meetings
- 25.04.2021 ADO Den Haag 0:3 Fortuna Sittard
- 20.02.2021 Fortuna Sittard 2:0 ADO Den Haag
- 09.11.2019 Fortuna Sittard 1:0 ADO Den Haag
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
ADO Den Haag face Fortuna Sittard in an Eredivisie meeting that points toward an open and competitive contest. The assessment gives ADO Den Haag a slight but well-defined edge, with the home side appearing better placed overall. That advantage remains narrow rather than decisive, so Fortuna Sittard should have a realistic opportunity to stay involved throughout the match.
The main expectation is for an attacking game, with both teams likely to score. This suggests that defensive control may be difficult to maintain, and the match could develop into a succession of chances at both ends. ADO Den Haag’s home advantage provides the clearest distinction between the sides, but Fortuna Sittard’s prospects of finding the net keep the draw firmly in consideration. The overall outlook therefore favours ADO Den Haag without dismissing a shared result, with a high-scoring pattern more plausible than a tightly managed encounter.
What matters before kick-off
Squad availability for both teams
ADO Den Haag are without the injured Cameron Peupion. Fortuna Sittard list Kristoffer Peterson, Ivan Marquez, Rodrigo Guth, Siebe Wylin, and Sven Simons as injured, while Ole Romeny is suspended.
Recent Eredivisie results
ADO Den Haag stopped a three-match losing streak to start the league season by drawing 2-2 at Feyenoord. Fortuna Sittard enter the game following a 3-2 victory away at FC Groningen.
First Eredivisie meeting in five years
This match marks the first Eredivisie encounter between ADO Den Haag and Fortuna Sittard since ADO Den Haag were relegated five years ago.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.