SC Telstar — Feyenoord Rotterdam: Win probabilities, 17.10.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
11.8%
Home win
SC Telstar
X
15.3%
Draw
W2
72.9%
Away win
Feyenoord Rotterdam
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
X288.2%
Both teams to score
Yes62.2%
Totals 2.5
Over74.3%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 27.1% |
| 12 | 84.7% | |
| X2 | 88.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 62.2% / 37.8% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 97.7% / 2.3% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 90.1% / 9.9% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 74.3% / 25.7% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 54.2% / 45.8% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 34.7% / 65.3% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 19.6% / 80.4% |
Goal distribution model
SC Telstar × Feyenoord Rotterdam
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
2.3%
0:1
5.6%
0:2
8.1%
0:3
7.6%
0:4
5.3%
0:5
3.0%
1
1:0
2.1%
1:1
6.4%
1:2
8.8%
1:3
8.2%
1:4
5.7%
1:5
3.2%
2
2:0
1.2%
2:1
3.4%
2:2
4.7%
2:3
4.4%
2:4
3.1%
2:5
1.7%
3
3:0
0.4%
3:1
1.2%
3:2
1.7%
3:3
1.6%
3:4
1.1%
3:5
0.6%
4
4:0
0.1%
4:1
0.3%
4:2
0.5%
4:3
0.4%
4:4
0.3%
4:5
0.2%
5
5:0
0.0%
5:1
0.1%
5:2
0.1%
5:3
0.1%
5:4
0.1%
5:5
0.0%
Most likely scores
1:28.8%
1:38.2%
0:28.1%
0:37.6%
1:16.4%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 17.10.2026
SC Telstar
13th place · 5 pts after 7Last 5 matches · latest first
- 20.09.2026 away AZ Alkmaar 0:1
- 13.09.2026 away Heerenveen 0:0
- 09.09.2026 away Twente 0:1
- 06.09.2026 home Cambuur 2:2
- 30.08.2026 home Ajax 0:4
Feyenoord Rotterdam
2nd place · 17 pts after 7Last 5 matches · latest first
- 20.09.2026 home Utrecht 5:0
- 13.09.2026 away Zwolle 7:0
- 05.09.2026 away Nijmegen 3:1
- 30.08.2026 home Den Haag 2:2
- 23.08.2026 away Cambuur 5:2
This season: SC Telstar at home vs Feyenoord Rotterdam away
| Metric | SC Telstar · at home | Feyenoord Rotterdam · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 3 | 4 |
| W–D–L | 0–1–2 | 4–0–0 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 3.00 | 0.75 |
| xG for per match | 1.56 | 2.70 |
| xG against per match | 2.07 | 0.82 |
| Shots on target per match | 2.33 | 7.50 |
| Corners per match | 5.33 | 5.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 75% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 50% |
Head-to-head · Last 2 meetings
SC Telstar wins0
Draws0
Feyenoord Rotterdam wins2
Goals per match3.00
Both teams scored2/2
Over 2.5 goals2/2
- 22.02.2026 Feyenoord Rotterdam 2:1 SC Telstar
- 30.11.2025 SC Telstar 1:2 Feyenoord Rotterdam
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
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