PEC Zwolle — Go Ahead Eagles: Win probabilities, 18.10.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
27.3%
Home win
PEC Zwolle
X
23.6%
Draw
W2
49.2%
Away win
Go Ahead Eagles
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
1276.4%
Both teams to score
Yes68.3%
Totals 2.5
Over68.3%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 50.8% |
| 12 | 76.4% | |
| X2 | 72.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 68.3% / 31.7% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 96.0% / 4.0% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 87.7% / 12.3% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 68.3% / 31.7% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 46.8% / 53.2% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 27.8% / 72.2% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 14.5% / 85.5% |
Goal distribution model
PEC Zwolle × Go Ahead Eagles
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
4.0%
0:1
5.0%
0:2
6.1%
0:3
4.1%
0:4
2.1%
0:5
0.9%
1
1:0
3.4%
1:1
10.0%
1:2
9.1%
1:3
6.2%
1:4
3.1%
1:5
1.3%
2
2:0
3.3%
2:1
6.7%
2:2
6.8%
2:3
4.6%
2:4
2.3%
2:5
0.9%
3
3:0
1.6%
3:1
3.3%
3:2
3.4%
3:3
2.3%
3:4
1.2%
3:5
0.5%
4
4:0
0.6%
4:1
1.2%
4:2
1.3%
4:3
0.8%
4:4
0.4%
4:5
0.2%
5
5:0
0.2%
5:1
0.4%
5:2
0.4%
5:3
0.3%
5:4
0.1%
5:5
0.1%
Most likely scores
1:110.0%
1:29.1%
2:26.8%
2:16.7%
1:36.2%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 18.10.2026
PEC Zwolle
16th place · 4 pts after 7Last 5 matches · latest first
- 18.09.2026 away Groningen 0:3
- 13.09.2026 home Feyenoord 0:7
- 04.09.2026 away Sparta Rotterdam 2:2
- 29.08.2026 home Nijmegen 1:3
- 22.08.2026 away Heerenveen 2:0
Go Ahead Eagles
6th place · 13 pts after 8Last 5 matches · latest first
- 20.09.2026 away Nijmegen 1:1
- 12.09.2026 home Groningen 1:1
- 08.09.2026 away Utrecht 3:3
- 05.09.2026 away Utrecht 3:1
- 29.08.2026 away AZ Alkmaar 2:5
This season: PEC Zwolle at home vs Go Ahead Eagles away
| Metric | PEC Zwolle · at home | Go Ahead Eagles · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 3 | 5 |
| W–D–L | 0–0–3 | 1–3–1 |
| Goals scored per match | 0.33 | 2.20 |
| Goals conceded per match | 4.00 | 2.40 |
| xG for per match | 0.93 | 2.00 |
| xG against per match | 2.28 | 2.22 |
| Shots on target per match | 2.33 | 5.75 |
| Corners per match | 4.33 | 5.50 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 80% |
| Both teams scored | 33% | 100% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
PEC Zwolle wins0
Draws4
Go Ahead Eagles wins2
Goals per match2.83
Both teams scored4/6
Over 2.5 goals2/6
- 05.04.2026 Go Ahead Eagles 5:0 PEC Zwolle
- 21.09.2025 PEC Zwolle 0:2 Go Ahead Eagles
- 11.05.2025 PEC Zwolle 1:1 Go Ahead Eagles
- 03.11.2024 Go Ahead Eagles 2:2 PEC Zwolle
- 11.02.2024 Go Ahead Eagles 1:1 PEC Zwolle
- 17.09.2023 PEC Zwolle 1:1 Go Ahead Eagles
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Odds movement
| W1 | was 3.10 → now 3.40 |
| W2 | was 2.05 → now 1.95 |
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