FC Twente Enschede — FC Utrecht: Win probabilities, 18.10.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
72.9%
Home win
FC Twente Enschede
X
17.0%
Draw
W2
10.1%
Away win
FC Utrecht
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
1X89.9%
Both teams to score
Yes61.6%
Totals 2.5
Over73.5%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 89.9% |
| 12 | 83.0% | |
| X2 | 27.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 61.6% / 38.4% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 96.7% / 3.3% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 90.6% / 9.4% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 73.5% / 26.5% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 53.2% / 46.8% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 33.7% / 66.3% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 18.8% / 81.2% |
Goal distribution model
FC Twente Enschede × FC Utrecht
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
3.3%
0:1
1.1%
0:2
1.2%
0:3
0.4%
0:4
0.1%
0:5
0.0%
1
1:0
5.0%
1:1
7.4%
1:2
3.2%
1:3
1.1%
1:4
0.3%
1:5
0.1%
2
2:0
8.5%
2:1
8.8%
2:2
4.5%
2:3
1.6%
2:4
0.4%
2:5
0.1%
3
3:0
7.9%
3:1
8.2%
3:2
4.2%
3:3
1.5%
3:4
0.4%
3:5
0.1%
4
4:0
5.5%
4:1
5.7%
4:2
3.0%
4:3
1.0%
4:4
0.3%
4:5
0.1%
5
5:0
3.1%
5:1
3.2%
5:2
1.6%
5:3
0.6%
5:4
0.1%
5:5
0.0%
Most likely scores
2:18.8%
2:08.5%
3:18.2%
3:07.9%
1:17.4%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 18.10.2026
FC Twente Enschede
4th place · 16 pts after 7Last 5 matches · latest first
- 20.09.2026 home PSV Eindhoven 3:2
- 12.09.2026 home Den Haag 2:0
- 09.09.2026 home Telstar 1:0
- 06.09.2026 away Groningen 2:2
- 30.08.2026 away Cambuur 4:1
FC Utrecht
15th place · 5 pts after 8Last 5 matches · latest first
- 20.09.2026 away Feyenoord 0:5
- 13.09.2026 away Excelsior 2:1
- 08.09.2026 home Go Ahead Eagles 3:3
- 05.09.2026 home Go Ahead Eagles 1:3
- 30.08.2026 home PSV Eindhoven 1:6
This season: FC Twente Enschede at home vs FC Utrecht away
| Metric | FC Twente Enschede · at home | FC Utrecht · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 4 | 4 |
| W–D–L | 4–0–0 | 1–1–2 |
| Goals scored per match | 2.25 | 1.50 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.75 | 2.75 |
| xG for per match | 2.49 | 1.57 |
| xG against per match | 0.69 | 1.87 |
| Shots on target per match | 8.75 | 4.75 |
| Corners per match | 8.25 | 3.25 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 75% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
FC Twente Enschede wins1
Draws2
FC Utrecht wins3
Goals per match2.00
Both teams scored3/6
Over 2.5 goals1/6
- 15.03.2026 FC Twente Enschede 0:2 FC Utrecht
- 07.12.2025 FC Utrecht 1:1 FC Twente Enschede
- 11.05.2025 FC Twente Enschede 2:0 FC Utrecht
- 01.09.2024 FC Utrecht 2:1 FC Twente Enschede
- 18.02.2024 FC Twente Enschede 0:1 FC Utrecht
- 05.11.2023 FC Utrecht 1:1 FC Twente Enschede
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
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