SC Telstar — ADO Den Haag: Win probabilities, 11.10.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 68.9% |
| 12 | 74.4% | |
| X2 | 56.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 63.0% / 37.0% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.5% / 5.5% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 82.8% / 17.2% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 60.3% / 39.7% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 37.9% / 62.1% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 20.5% / 79.5% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 9.6% / 90.4% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 11.10.2026
SC Telstar
13th place · 5 pts after 7Last 5 matches · latest first
- 20.09.2026 away AZ Alkmaar 0:1
- 13.09.2026 away Heerenveen 0:0
- 09.09.2026 away Twente 0:1
- 06.09.2026 home Cambuur 2:2
- 30.08.2026 home Ajax 0:4
ADO Den Haag
17th place · 2 pts after 7Last 5 matches · latest first
- 19.09.2026 home Cambuur 1:1
- 12.09.2026 away Twente 0:2
- 06.09.2026 home For Sittard 2:3
- 30.08.2026 away Feyenoord 2:2
- 23.08.2026 away Go Ahead Eagles 1:3
This season: SC Telstar at home vs ADO Den Haag away
| Metric | SC Telstar · at home | ADO Den Haag · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 3 | 4 |
| W–D–L | 0–1–2 | 0–1–3 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.00 | 0.75 |
| Goals conceded per match | 3.00 | 2.25 |
| xG for per match | 1.56 | 0.64 |
| xG against per match | 2.07 | 2.20 |
| Shots on target per match | 2.33 | 2.75 |
| Corners per match | 5.33 | 3.75 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 50% |
Head-to-head
No previous meetings found in the available data.
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
SC Telstar host ADO Den Haag in an Eredivisie meeting that points toward a relatively open contest. The available assessment gives SC Telstar a slight edge, although the confidence behind that view is moderate rather than strong. The main signal is therefore a narrow home advantage rather than a clear expectation of dominance.
The scoring outlook suggests a high-scoring match, with both teams likely to find the net. The projected scorelines include 1:1, 2:1 and 1:2, which underlines the competitive nature of the fixture and leaves room for either side to influence the result. Overall, the analysis leans toward SC Telstar avoiding defeat, while a draw remains a significant possibility.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.