PEC Zwolle — SC Cambuur: Win probabilities, 11.10.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 71.0% |
| 12 | 75.5% | |
| X2 | 53.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 66.8% / 33.2% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 95.5% / 4.5% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 86.2% / 13.8% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 65.6% / 34.4% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 43.7% / 56.3% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 25.2% / 74.8% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 12.7% / 87.3% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 11.10.2026
PEC Zwolle
16th place · 4 pts after 7Last 5 matches · latest first
- 18.09.2026 away Groningen 0:3
- 13.09.2026 home Feyenoord 0:7
- 04.09.2026 away Sparta Rotterdam 2:2
- 29.08.2026 home Nijmegen 1:3
- 22.08.2026 away Heerenveen 2:0
SC Cambuur
14th place · 5 pts after 7Last 5 matches · latest first
- 19.09.2026 away Den Haag 1:1
- 12.09.2026 home Nijmegen 3:0
- 06.09.2026 away Telstar 2:2
- 30.08.2026 home Twente 1:4
- 23.08.2026 home Feyenoord 2:5
This season: PEC Zwolle at home vs SC Cambuur away
| Metric | PEC Zwolle · at home | SC Cambuur · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 3 | 3 |
| W–D–L | 0–0–3 | 0–2–1 |
| Goals scored per match | 0.33 | 1.33 |
| Goals conceded per match | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| xG for per match | 0.93 | 1.32 |
| xG against per match | 2.28 | 2.02 |
| Shots on target per match | 2.33 | 4.33 |
| Corners per match | 4.33 | 4.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 67% |
| Both teams scored | 33% | 100% |
Head-to-head · Last 2 meetings
- 12.02.2022 SC Cambuur 3:4 PEC Zwolle
- 06.11.2021 PEC Zwolle 1:2 SC Cambuur
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
PEC Zwolle enter this Eredivisie meeting with a slight edge over SC Cambuur, although the matchup still points toward a competitive contest rather than a one-sided affair. The available assessment gives the hosts a high level of confidence in that overall edge, while also indicating that the game could develop into an open, high-scoring encounter.
The attacking outlook is particularly notable, with both teams considered likely to score. That makes a balanced exchange of chances plausible, even though PEC Zwolle hold the stronger overall position in the assessment. The projected scorelines include 1:1, 2:1 and 1:2, which underlines the relatively narrow gap between the sides despite the preference toward the home team. Overall, PEC Zwolle have the clearer edge, but SC Cambuur remain capable of making the match competitive, with the scoring profile suggesting an active game at both ends.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.