Fortuna Sittard — FC Twente Enschede: Win probabilities, 10.10.2026

Fortuna Sittard host FC Twente Enschede in the Eredivisie with a clear gap in recent form between the sides. The visitors arrive on the back of five matches without defeat, winning four and drawing one, and sit fourth in the table with sixteen points from seven games. The hosts, by contrast, occupy seventh place and have taken only one win from three home outings so far this season, conceding eight goals in that stretch. On the balance of underlying patterns, FC Twente Enschede look to carry a meaningful edge into the fixture.

The head-to-head record reinforces that picture. Across the last six meetings, Fortuna Sittard have not won once, with FC Twente Enschede taking five victories and one draw, including a 1-2 result in the most recent encounter. Four of those six games also produced goals at both ends, which fits the home side's current profile of allowing more chances than they create at their own ground.

Combined with the visitors' habit of generating cleaner opportunities on the road, the match looks tilted toward an away result with contributions at both ends. The hosts are capable of scoring, but containing FC Twente Enschede over ninety minutes has consistently proven difficult.