SC Paderborn 07 — SC Freiburg: Win probabilities, 05.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 49.4% |
| 12 | 75.1% | |
| X2 | 75.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 62.3% / 37.7% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.6% / 5.4% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 83.6% / 16.4% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 61.2% / 38.8% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 38.9% / 61.1% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 21.2% / 78.8% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 10.1% / 89.9% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 05.09.2026
SC Paderborn 07
12th place · 1 pts after 1Last 5 matches · latest first
- 29.08.2026 away Mainz 0:0
- 17.05.2026 away Darmstadt 2:0
- 08.05.2026 home Karlsruhe 2:2
- 03.05.2026 away Elversberg 1:5
- 26.04.2026 home Schalke 04 2:3
SC Freiburg
2nd place · 3 pts after 1Last 5 matches · latest first
- 30.08.2026 home Werder Bremen 4:1
- 16.05.2026 home RB Leipzig 4:1
- 10.05.2026 away Hamburg 2:3
- 03.05.2026 home Wolfsburg 1:1
- 26.04.2026 away Dortmund 0:4
Head-to-head · Last 2 meetings
- 25.01.2020 SC Freiburg 0:2 SC Paderborn 07
- 24.08.2019 SC Paderborn 07 1:3 SC Freiburg
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
SC Paderborn 07 host SC Freiburg in a Bundesliga fixture that points towards an open and competitive contest. The analysis expects both teams to find the net, with the overall scoring outlook leaning high. That suggests the match may feature a lively tempo and several meaningful attacking phases rather than a cautious, low-event encounter.
SC Freiburg carry a slight edge in the assessment, although the gap between the sides is not presented as decisive. The strongest market signal supports SC Freiburg avoiding defeat, while a draw remains a realistic part of the picture. The most plausible scorelines are 1:1, 1:2 and 0:2, reflecting both the expectation of goals and the visitors' stronger position in the forecast. SC Paderborn 07 should still have opportunities to contribute offensively, but SC Freiburg appear better placed to manage the key moments.
What matters before kick-off
First Bundesliga home fixture
SC Paderborn 07 host SC Freiburg at the Home Deluxe Arena on Matchday 2 of the 2026/27 Bundesliga season.
Freiburg preview highlights past trips
SC Freiburg's pre-match report noted that head coach Julian Schuster previously missed a memorable trip to Paderborn as a player due to a knee injury.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.