Borussia Monchengladbach — SV 07 Elversberg: Win probabilities, 05.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 75.7% |
| 12 | 76.4% | |
| X2 | 47.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 67.6% / 32.4% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 95.7% / 4.3% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 87.8% / 12.2% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 68.1% / 31.9% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 46.6% / 53.4% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 27.7% / 72.3% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 14.4% / 85.6% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 05.09.2026
Borussia Monchengladbach
17th place · 0 pts after 1Last 5 matches · latest first
- 29.08.2026 away RB Leipzig 0:3
- 16.05.2026 home Hoffenheim 4:0
- 09.05.2026 away Augsburg 1:3
- 03.05.2026 home Dortmund 1:0
- 25.04.2026 away Wolfsburg 0:0
SV 07 Elversberg
6th place · 3 pts after 1Last 5 matches · latest first
- 29.08.2026 home Leverkusen 3:2
- 17.05.2026 home Preußen Münster 3:0
- 10.05.2026 away Fortuna Dusseldorf 1:3
- 03.05.2026 home Paderborn 5:1
- 25.04.2026 away Darmstadt 3:3
Head-to-head
No previous meetings found in the available data.
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Borussia Monchengladbach hold a slight but meaningful edge over SV 07 Elversberg ahead of their Bundesliga meeting. The assessment points toward a competitive match rather than a one-sided contest, with the hosts having the stronger overall position while SV 07 Elversberg remain capable of making the game uncomfortable.
The attacking outlook is positive for both sides, and a high-scoring encounter is considered more likely than a low-tempo match. Both teams are likely to find the net, which could keep the result in doubt deep into the game. Borussia Monchengladbach should have enough to avoid defeat, but SV 07 Elversberg have a reasonable platform to contribute offensively and challenge the home side. The clearest reading is therefore a narrow advantage for Borussia Monchengladbach in an open, closely contested fixture.
What matters before kick-off
Elversberg's historic Bundesliga debut win
SV 07 Elversberg won their first-ever Bundesliga match in stunning fashion, defeating Bayer Leverkusen 3-2 with goals from Lukas Petkov, Cole Campbell, and David Mokwa.
Borussia Mönchengladbach's opening weekend defeat
Borussia Mönchengladbach enter matchday two of the Bundesliga season aiming to bounce back from a 3-0 away defeat to RB Leipzig on the opening weekend.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.