Match intelligence

SC Internacional RS — SC Corinthians SP: Win probabilities, 07.10.2026

League: Brasileiro Serie A (Brazil) · Kick-off:

Full time

Final result

✓ Prediction hit
SC Internacional RS2
:
1SC Corinthians SP
Locked signal 1X Probability 71.3% Verdict Hit
Mathematical model

Win probabilities

Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin

Odds updated
W1 38.4% Home win SC Internacional RS
X 32.9% Draw
W2 28.7% Away win SC Corinthians SP
Market matrix

Markets

Double chance
1X71.3%
Both teams to score
No55.8%
Totals 2.5
Under64.3%

All calculated markets

MarketSelectionProbability
Double chance1X71.3%
1267.1%
X261.6%
Both teams to scoreYes/No44.2% / 55.8%
Totals 0.5 Over/Under 86.4% / 13.6%
Totals 1.5 Over/Under 64.3% / 35.7%
Totals 2.5 Over/Under 35.7% / 64.3%
Totals 3.5 Over/Under 16.6% / 83.4%
Totals 4.5 Over/Under 6.5% / 93.5%
Totals 5.5 Over/Under 2.1% / 97.9%
Goal distribution model

Score probability heatmap

Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally

SC Internacional RS × SC Corinthians SP
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0 13.6%
0:1 9.9%
0:2 5.6%
0:3 1.8%
0:4 0.4%
0:5 0.1%
1
1:0 12.2%
1:1 15.0%
1:2 6.5%
1:3 2.1%
1:4 0.5%
1:5 0.1%
2
2:0 8.0%
2:1 7.7%
2:2 3.7%
2:3 1.2%
2:4 0.3%
2:5 0.1%
3
3:0 3.1%
3:1 3.0%
3:2 1.4%
3:3 0.5%
3:4 0.1%
3:5 0.0%
4
4:0 0.9%
4:1 0.9%
4:2 0.4%
4:3 0.1%
4:4 0.0%
4:5 0.0%
5
5:0 0.2%
5:1 0.2%
5:2 0.1%
5:3 0.0%
5:4 0.0%
5:5 0.0%
Most likely scores
1:115.0%
0:013.6%
1:012.2%
0:19.9%
2:08.0%
Match data

Form and head-to-head

Results before kick-off on 07.10.2026

SC Internacional RS

18th place · 28 pts after 28

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 20.09.2026 away Sao Paulo 0:1
  • 12.09.2026 away Chapecoense-SC 2:1
  • 06.09.2026 home Santos 2:3
  • 30.08.2026 away Bahia 2:3
  • 22.08.2026 home Atletico-MG 0:0

SC Corinthians SP

14th place · 32 pts after 28

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 20.09.2026 home Fluminense 1:3
  • 13.09.2026 away Flamengo RJ 1:2
  • 06.09.2026 home Chapecoense-SC 1:2
  • 30.08.2026 home Santos 0:1
  • 23.08.2026 away Coritiba 1:2

This season: SC Internacional RS at home vs SC Corinthians SP away

Metric SC Internacional RS · at home SC Corinthians SP · away
Matches1413
W–D–L3–5–63–5–5
Goals scored per match1.141.08
Goals conceded per match1.141.23
Over 2.5 goals36%46%
Both teams scored57%69%

Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings

SC Internacional RS wins3
Draws2
SC Corinthians SP wins1
Goals per match2.83
Both teams scored4/6
Over 2.5 goals3/6
  • 05.04.2026 SC Corinthians SP 0:1 SC Internacional RS
  • 01.10.2025 SC Internacional RS 1:1 SC Corinthians SP
  • 03.05.2025 SC Corinthians SP 4:2 SC Internacional RS
  • 05.10.2024 SC Corinthians SP 2:2 SC Internacional RS
  • 20.06.2024 SC Internacional RS 1:0 SC Corinthians SP
  • 02.12.2023 SC Corinthians SP 1:2 SC Internacional RS

Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.

✦
AI analysis

Match preview

Model · GPT 5.6 Luna

SC Internacional RS and SC Corinthians SP look evenly matched ahead of their Brasileiro Serie A meeting. The overall assessment points to a balanced contest, with moderate confidence rather than a strong preference for either side. The market signal favors the hosts avoiding defeat, but the matchup remains competitive and does not suggest a clear winner.

The scoring outlook is medium-scoring, with 1:1, 0:0, and 1:0 among the likely scorelines. That range reflects a game where the margin could be narrow, while the possibility of both teams finding the net remains uncertain. SC Internacional RS have a slight contextual edge from the home setting, but SC Corinthians SP remain close enough in the assessment to keep the result open.

Current context

What matters before kick-off

Updated
Team news

Head coaching change at Internacional

Following a 1-0 defeat against São Paulo, Internacional dismissed head coach Paulo Pezzolano. Eduardo Baptista took over to lead the team.

Availability

Rodrigo Villagra returns from suspension

Internacional midfielder Rodrigo Villagra has served his suspension and is available for selection once again.

AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.

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How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.

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