Clube do Remo PA — Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS: Win probabilities, 07.10.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 75.2% |
| 12 | 72.1% | |
| X2 | 52.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 56.1% / 43.9% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 92.0% / 8.0% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 77.9% / 22.1% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 52.1% / 47.9% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 30.0% / 70.0% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 14.6% / 85.4% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 6.2% / 93.8% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 07.10.2026
Clube do Remo PA
19th place · 23 pts after 28Last 5 matches · latest first
- 19.09.2026 home Santos 1:2
- 15.09.2026 away Bahia 1:2
- 06.09.2026 home Flamengo RJ 0:1
- 01.09.2026 home Coritiba 2:3
- 22.08.2026 away Fluminense 1:2
Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS
17th place · 29 pts after 28Last 5 matches · latest first
- 20.09.2026 home Palmeiras 0:0
- 16.09.2026 away Botafogo RJ 2:3
- 12.09.2026 home Vasco 1:2
- 08.09.2026 away Vitoria 0:1
- 30.08.2026 home Chapecoense-SC 3:1
This season: Clube do Remo PA at home vs Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS away
| Metric | Clube do Remo PA · at home | Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 14 | 14 |
| W–D–L | 3–5–6 | 0–4–10 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.29 | 0.57 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.36 | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% | 43% |
| Both teams scored | 64% | 50% |
Head-to-head · Last 1 meetings
- 06.04.2026 Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS 0:0 Clube do Remo PA
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Clube do Remo PA have a slight edge going into their Brasileiro Serie A meeting with Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS. The available assessment points toward the home side having the stronger position overall, although the advantage is not large enough to suggest a one-sided contest. With the confidence level described as high, the main signal supports Clube do Remo PA avoiding defeat rather than relying on a decisive home victory.
The expected scoring profile is medium-scoring, with 1:1, 2:1, and 1:0 identified as the most likely scorelines. That range suggests a match where the margin could remain narrow and where a draw is a credible outcome alongside a home win. The assessment also treats both teams scoring as essentially balanced, so there is no clear indication that both sides must find the net. For Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS, the task will be to counter the home advantage and keep the contest close. Overall, the analysis points to a competitive match with a modest lean toward Clube do Remo PA.
What matters before kick-off
Grêmio squad absentees
Grêmio enter the match against Remo without full-backs Diego Caito and Marlon.
Grêmio's previous result
In their previous Brasileirão fixture, Grêmio played out a 0-0 draw at home against Palmeiras.
First-round fixture result
The first-round Serie A encounter between Grêmio and Remo in Porto Alegre ended in a 0-0 draw.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.