Red Bull Bragantino SP — Mirassol FC SP: Win probabilities, 07.10.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 84.4% |
| 12 | 76.4% | |
| X2 | 39.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 58.6% / 41.4% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.0% / 6.0% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 84.2% / 15.8% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 61.3% / 38.7% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 39.0% / 61.0% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 21.3% / 78.7% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 10.2% / 89.8% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 07.10.2026
Red Bull Bragantino SP
10th place · 36 pts after 28Last 5 matches · latest first
- 03.10.2026 away Atletico-MG 0:1
- 20.09.2026 away Flamengo RJ 1:2
- 13.09.2026 away Botafogo RJ 1:1
- 05.09.2026 home Bahia 2:3
- 30.08.2026 away Sao Paulo 1:2
Mirassol FC SP
15th place · 32 pts after 28Last 5 matches · latest first
- 19.09.2026 home Botafogo RJ 2:0
- 13.09.2026 home Vitoria 2:2
- 06.09.2026 away Coritiba 2:1
- 02.09.2026 away Flamengo RJ 0:2
- 30.08.2026 home Palmeiras 1:1
This season: Red Bull Bragantino SP at home vs Mirassol FC SP away
| Metric | Red Bull Bragantino SP · at home | Mirassol FC SP · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 13 | 13 |
| W–D–L | 6–2–5 | 2–3–8 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.46 | 0.92 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.08 | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 46% |
| Both teams scored | 46% | 62% |
Head-to-head · Last 3 meetings
- 06.04.2026 Mirassol FC SP 0:1 Red Bull Bragantino SP
- 01.10.2025 Mirassol FC SP 1:1 Red Bull Bragantino SP
- 05.05.2025 Red Bull Bragantino SP 1:0 Mirassol FC SP
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Red Bull Bragantino SP enter this Brasileiro Serie A fixture as the clearly stronger side, although the moderate confidence level suggests the assessment should be treated with some caution. Mirassol FC SP face a difficult matchup, with the available qualitative signals favoring the hosts rather than indicating a closely balanced contest.
The game is also projected to have an open scoring profile. Both teams are considered likely to score, while the scoring outlook points toward a high-scoring match. That combination suggests a contest in which attacking moments could play a significant role, rather than a game expected to remain tightly controlled throughout.
Overall, the analytical picture gives Red Bull Bragantino SP the stronger position while allowing for Mirassol FC SP to contribute offensively. The listed scorelines range from a draw to home victories, reinforcing the view that the hosts have the edge without making the outcome certain.
What matters before kick-off
Serie A Round 29 fixture
Red Bull Bragantino hosts Mirassol FC on October 7, 2026, in Round 29 of the Brazilian Série A at the Estádio Cícero de Souza Marques.
Recent team results
In their previous league match, Red Bull Bragantino suffered a 1-0 defeat away against Atlético Mineiro, while Mirassol secured a 2-0 home victory against Botafogo.
Head-to-head encounters in 2026
In 2026, Mirassol FC eliminated Red Bull Bragantino from the Copa do Brasil after a 1-1 draw and a 2-1 victory, while Red Bull Bragantino won the first-leg Série A matchup 1-0.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.