SC Internacional RS — Santos FC SP: Win probabilities, 06.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 77.3% |
| 12 | 72.3% | |
| X2 | 50.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 49.9% / 50.1% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 90.9% / 9.1% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 72.6% / 27.4% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 46.0% / 54.0% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 24.5% / 75.5% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 11.1% / 88.9% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 4.3% / 95.7% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 06.09.2026
SC Internacional RS
16th place · 25 pts after 25Last 5 matches · latest first
- 30.08.2026 away Bahia 2:3
- 22.08.2026 home Atletico-MG 0:0
- 18.08.2026 home Remo 1:1
- 09.08.2026 away Palmeiras 0:0
- 29.07.2026 home Flamengo RJ 1:1
Santos FC SP
13th place · 29 pts after 24Last 5 matches · latest first
- 30.08.2026 away Corinthians 1:0
- 23.08.2026 home Mirassol 1:1
- 16.08.2026 away Vasco 3:0
- 09.08.2026 home Athletico-PR 0:2
- 25.07.2026 home Chapecoense-SC 2:2
This season: SC Internacional RS at home vs Santos FC SP away
| Metric | SC Internacional RS · at home | Santos FC SP · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 13 | 11 |
| W–D–L | 3–5–5 | 2–4–5 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.08 | 1.45 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 1.73 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 31% | 73% |
| Both teams scored | 54% | 73% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 19.03.2026 Santos FC SP 1:2 SC Internacional RS
- 25.11.2025 SC Internacional RS 1:1 Santos FC SP
- 24.07.2025 Santos FC SP 1:2 SC Internacional RS
- 22.10.2023 SC Internacional RS 7:1 Santos FC SP
- 04.06.2023 Santos FC SP 1:1 SC Internacional RS
- 01.10.2022 SC Internacional RS 1:0 Santos FC SP
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
SC Internacional RS have a slight but well-supported edge over Santos FC SP in this Brasileiro Serie A meeting. The available assessment points toward a medium-scoring match, with the home side better positioned in the overall outcome outlook. That advantage is not decisive, however, and the draw remains a realistic possibility within the projected range.
The scoring picture is balanced rather than strongly one-sided. Both teams scoring is considered difficult to separate, so the match could develop through a cautious opening before becoming more open, or remain controlled throughout. The most plausible scorelines are 1:1, 1:0 and 2:0, which reflects both the home advantage and the limited margin between the sides. SC Internacional RS should therefore be regarded as the team with the clearer platform, while Santos FC SP retain a credible route to avoid defeat.
What matters before kick-off
Santos squad availability
Santos captain Neymar misses the match due to a right thigh injury sustained against Palmeiras in the Copa do Brasil. Additionally, Barreal and Lucas Veríssimo miss out through suspension.
Internacional suspensions
Internacional will be without Victor Gabriel, Alex Bernabei, and head coach Paulo Pezzolano due to suspensions.
Copa do Brasil eliminations
Both clubs enter this round 26 Série A fixture following mid-week Copa do Brasil eliminations, with Internacional losing to rivals Grêmio and Santos knocked out by Palmeiras.
Santos winless streak at Beira-Rio
Santos have gone 18 years without a away victory against Internacional at the Beira-Rio stadium.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.