Match intelligence

Clube do Remo PA — CR Flamengo RJ: Win probabilities, 06.09.2026

League: Brasileiro Serie A (Brazil) · Kick-off:

Full time

Final result

✓ Prediction hit
Clube do Remo PA0
:
1CR Flamengo RJ
Locked signal W2 Probability 65.8% Verdict Hit
Mathematical model

Win probabilities

Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin

Odds updated
W1 12.5% Home win Clube do Remo PA
X 21.6% Draw
W2 65.8% Away win CR Flamengo RJ
Market matrix

Markets

Double chance
X287.2%
Both teams to score
Yes51.5%
Totals 2.5
Over57.5%

All calculated markets

MarketSelectionProbability
Double chance1X34.0%
1278.8%
X287.2%
Both teams to scoreYes/No51.5% / 48.5%
Totals 0.5 Over/Under 94.0% / 6.0%
Totals 1.5 Over/Under 80.9% / 19.1%
Totals 2.5 Over/Under 57.5% / 42.5%
Totals 3.5 Over/Under 35.1% / 64.9%
Totals 4.5 Over/Under 18.3% / 81.7%
Totals 5.5 Over/Under 8.3% / 91.7%
Goal distribution model

Score probability heatmap

Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally

Clube do Remo PA × CR Flamengo RJ
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0 6.0%
0:1 9.8%
0:2 11.5%
0:3 8.2%
0:4 4.4%
0:5 1.9%
1
1:0 3.3%
1:1 10.1%
1:2 9.8%
1:3 7.0%
1:4 3.7%
1:5 1.6%
2
2:0 1.8%
2:1 3.9%
2:2 4.2%
2:3 3.0%
2:4 1.6%
2:5 0.7%
3
3:0 0.5%
3:1 1.1%
3:2 1.2%
3:3 0.8%
3:4 0.5%
3:5 0.2%
4
4:0 0.1%
4:1 0.2%
4:2 0.3%
4:3 0.2%
4:4 0.1%
4:5 0.0%
5
5:0 0.0%
5:1 0.0%
5:2 0.0%
5:3 0.0%
5:4 0.0%
5:5 0.0%
Most likely scores
0:211.5%
1:110.1%
0:19.8%
1:29.8%
0:38.2%
Match data

Form and head-to-head

Results before kick-off on 06.09.2026

Clube do Remo PA

19th place · 23 pts after 25

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 01.09.2026 home Coritiba 2:3
  • 22.08.2026 away Fluminense 1:2
  • 18.08.2026 away Internacional 1:1
  • 08.08.2026 home Atletico-MG 2:2
  • 29.07.2026 away Mirassol 1:2

CR Flamengo RJ

2nd place · 51 pts after 25

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 02.09.2026 home Mirassol 2:0
  • 30.08.2026 home Botafogo RJ 3:0
  • 23.08.2026 away Cruzeiro 1:2
  • 16.08.2026 away Mirassol 5:1
  • 09.08.2026 home Vitoria 2:0

This season: Clube do Remo PA at home vs CR Flamengo RJ away

Metric Clube do Remo PA · at home CR Flamengo RJ · away
Matches1213
W–D–L3–5–47–3–3
Goals scored per match1.422.00
Goals conceded per match1.331.00
Over 2.5 goals42%69%
Both teams scored67%62%

Head-to-head · Last 1 meetings

Clube do Remo PA wins0
Draws0
CR Flamengo RJ wins1
Goals per match3.00
Both teams scored0/1
Over 2.5 goals1/1
  • 19.03.2026 CR Flamengo RJ 3:0 Clube do Remo PA

Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.

✦
AI analysis

Match preview

Model · GPT 5.6 Luna

Clube do Remo PA face a difficult assignment against CR Flamengo RJ in Brasileiro Serie A. The available assessment gives CR Flamengo RJ a clear advantage, although the confidence level is moderate rather than absolute. That suggests the visitors should be expected to control more of the match, particularly through their overall strength and ability to create pressure, while Clube do Remo PA will need to remain compact and make the most of limited opportunities.

The game is projected to be medium-scoring, with neither side holding a clear statistical advantage in the expectation that both teams will score. This leaves room for different match patterns: CR Flamengo RJ could impose themselves and win without conceding, but Clube do Remo PA may also find a route to the net if they convert their chances efficiently. Overall, the balance points toward the visitors, while the hosts retain enough attacking possibility to keep the contest competitive.

Current context

What matters before kick-off

Updated
Schedule

Serie A Round 26 fixture

Clube do Remo host Flamengo in Belém at the Mangueirão stadium in Round 26 of the Brazilian Série A.

Match fact

Remo's winless run

Remo enter the match on a seven-game winless streak in the championship, sitting 19th in the standings with 23 points.

Schedule

Flamengo's league position

Flamengo enter the fixture following a midweek victory over Mirassol, reaching 51 points and reducing the gap behind leaders Palmeiras to a single point.

AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.

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