Clube do Remo PA — CR Flamengo RJ: Win probabilities, 06.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 34.0% |
| 12 | 78.8% | |
| X2 | 87.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 51.5% / 48.5% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.0% / 6.0% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 80.9% / 19.1% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 57.5% / 42.5% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 35.1% / 64.9% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 18.3% / 81.7% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 8.3% / 91.7% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
Clube do Remo PA face a difficult assignment against CR Flamengo RJ in Brasileiro Serie A. The available assessment gives CR Flamengo RJ a clear advantage, although the confidence level is moderate rather than absolute. That suggests the visitors should be expected to control more of the match, particularly through their overall strength and ability to create pressure, while Clube do Remo PA will need to remain compact and make the most of limited opportunities.
The game is projected to be medium-scoring, with neither side holding a clear statistical advantage in the expectation that both teams will score. This leaves room for different match patterns: CR Flamengo RJ could impose themselves and win without conceding, but Clube do Remo PA may also find a route to the net if they convert their chances efficiently. Overall, the balance points toward the visitors, while the hosts retain enough attacking possibility to keep the contest competitive.
What matters before kick-off
Serie A Round 26 fixture
Clube do Remo host Flamengo in Belém at the Mangueirão stadium in Round 26 of the Brazilian Série A.
Remo's winless run
Remo enter the match on a seven-game winless streak in the championship, sitting 19th in the standings with 23 points.
Flamengo's league position
Flamengo enter the fixture following a midweek victory over Mirassol, reaching 51 points and reducing the gap behind leaders Palmeiras to a single point.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
Prediction questions
We remove the bookmaker margin from market odds, estimate each team’s expected goals and build one matrix of possible scores. Outcomes, totals, both teams to score and likely scores all come from that matrix.
Fair odds are one divided by the probability of the main signal. They are a mathematical reference without bookmaker margin, not an offer from a particular bookmaker.
The official prediction is locked before kick-off and is never rewritten after publication. After the final whistle it is checked against the result and added to the public record.
AI does not calculate or change probabilities. It explains the mathematical output in plain language, and the model used is shown next to the analysis.