Coritiba FC PR — Mirassol FC SP: Win probabilities, 06.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 65.5% |
| 12 | 70.6% | |
| X2 | 63.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 54.4% / 45.6% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 91.1% / 8.9% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 74.8% / 25.2% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 48.2% / 51.8% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 26.4% / 73.6% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 12.3% / 87.7% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 4.9% / 95.1% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 06.09.2026
Coritiba FC PR
7th place · 37 pts after 25Last 5 matches · latest first
- 01.09.2026 away Remo 3:2
- 23.08.2026 home Corinthians 2:1
- 16.08.2026 away Sao Paulo 1:1
- 09.08.2026 home Chapecoense-SC 2:1
- 31.07.2026 home Cruzeiro 0:1
Mirassol FC SP
17th place · 25 pts after 25Last 5 matches · latest first
- 02.09.2026 away Flamengo RJ 0:2
- 30.08.2026 home Palmeiras 1:1
- 23.08.2026 away Santos 1:1
- 16.08.2026 home Flamengo RJ 1:5
- 09.08.2026 away Cruzeiro 1:3
This season: Coritiba FC PR at home vs Mirassol FC SP away
| Metric | Coritiba FC PR · at home | Mirassol FC SP · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 12 | 12 |
| W–D–L | 5–3–4 | 1–3–8 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.25 | 0.83 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.17 | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 42% | 42% |
| Both teams scored | 58% | 58% |
Head-to-head · Last 1 meetings
- 18.03.2026 Mirassol FC SP 0:1 Coritiba FC PR
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Coritiba FC PR and Mirassol FC SP look evenly matched ahead of their Brasileiro Serie A meeting. The available assessment points to a moderate level of confidence, with neither side holding a clear overall advantage. That suggests a contest likely to be decided by small details, such as how effectively each team manages possession and creates chances in key areas.
The match is projected to have a medium-scoring profile, although there is no strong indication that both teams will find the net. Both teams scoring is viewed as a coin flip, leaving several different game patterns plausible. A cautious opening could develop into a more open encounter if either side takes the initiative, but a controlled and closely contested match is also consistent with the assessment. The market signal gives some protection to the home side, while the broader outlook remains balanced rather than pointing firmly toward Coritiba FC PR or Mirassol FC SP.
What matters before kick-off
League standings ahead of Round 26
Coritiba enter the 26th round of the 2026 Brasileirão Série A in seventh place with 37 points from 25 matches. Mirassol sit in 17th place with 25 points.
Coritiba's recent comeback win
In their previous Serie A match, Coritiba secured a 3-2 comeback victory away against Remo.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.