Match intelligence

SC Internacional RS — CR Flamengo RJ: Win probabilities, 29.07.2026

League: Brasileiro Serie A (Brazil) · Kick-off:

Full time

Final result

✓ Prediction hit
SC Internacional RS1
:
1CR Flamengo RJ
Locked signal X2 Probability 74.8% Verdict Hit
Mathematical model

Win probabilities

Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin

Odds updated
W1 25.2% Home win SC Internacional RS
X 26.7% Draw
W2 48.1% Away win CR Flamengo RJ
Market matrix

Markets

Double chance
X275.7%
Both teams to score
Yes51.7%
Totals 2.5
Under51.6%

All calculated markets

MarketSelectionProbability
Double chance1X50.8%
1273.5%
X275.7%
Both teams to scoreYes/No51.7% / 48.3%
Totals 0.5 Over/Under 92.0% / 8.0%
Totals 1.5 Over/Under 74.0% / 26.0%
Totals 2.5 Over/Under 48.4% / 51.6%
Totals 3.5 Over/Under 26.6% / 73.4%
Totals 4.5 Over/Under 12.4% / 87.6%
Totals 5.5 Over/Under 5.0% / 95.0%
Goal distribution model

Score probability heatmap

Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally

SC Internacional RS × CR Flamengo RJ
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0 8.0%
0:1 11.0%
0:2 9.1%
0:3 4.8%
0:4 1.9%
0:5 0.6%
1
1:0 7.0%
1:1 12.6%
1:2 9.4%
1:3 5.0%
1:4 1.9%
1:5 0.6%
2
2:0 3.9%
2:1 6.2%
2:2 4.9%
2:3 2.6%
2:4 1.0%
2:5 0.3%
3
3:0 1.4%
3:1 2.1%
3:2 1.7%
3:3 0.9%
3:4 0.3%
3:5 0.1%
4
4:0 0.4%
4:1 0.6%
4:2 0.4%
4:3 0.2%
4:4 0.1%
4:5 0.0%
5
5:0 0.1%
5:1 0.1%
5:2 0.1%
5:3 0.0%
5:4 0.0%
5:5 0.0%
Most likely scores
1:112.6%
0:111.0%
1:29.4%
0:29.1%
0:08.0%
Match data

Form and head-to-head

Results before kick-off on 29.07.2026

SC Internacional RS

16th place · 21 pts after 20

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 25.07.2026 away Athletico-PR 0:2
  • 23.07.2026 home Cruzeiro 1:2
  • 31.05.2026 away Bragantino 1:3
  • 23.05.2026 away Vitoria 0:2
  • 16.05.2026 home Vasco 4:1

CR Flamengo RJ

2nd place · 38 pts after 19

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 26.07.2026 home Sao Paulo 1:1
  • 23.07.2026 away Chapecoense-SC 4:0
  • 30.05.2026 home Coritiba 3:0
  • 24.05.2026 home Palmeiras 0:3
  • 17.05.2026 away Athletico-PR 1:1

This season: SC Internacional RS at home vs CR Flamengo RJ away

Metric SC Internacional RS · at home CR Flamengo RJ · away
Matches1010
W–D–L3–2–56–2–2
Goals scored per match1.201.90
Goals conceded per match1.100.90
Over 2.5 goals40%70%
Both teams scored50%50%

Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings

SC Internacional RS wins0
Draws4
CR Flamengo RJ wins2
Goals per match2.50
Both teams scored5/6
Over 2.5 goals2/6
  • 04.02.2026 CR Flamengo RJ 1:1 SC Internacional RS
  • 17.08.2025 SC Internacional RS 1:3 CR Flamengo RJ
  • 30.03.2025 CR Flamengo RJ 1:1 SC Internacional RS
  • 01.12.2024 CR Flamengo RJ 3:2 SC Internacional RS
  • 30.10.2024 SC Internacional RS 1:1 CR Flamengo RJ
  • 26.08.2023 CR Flamengo RJ 0:0 SC Internacional RS

Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.

✦
AI analysis

Match preview

Model · GPT 5.6 Luna

SC Internacional RS face CR Flamengo RJ in a Brasileiro Serie A meeting where the visitors hold a slight but well-supported edge. The assessment points toward a competitive match rather than a one-sided contest, with CR Flamengo RJ having the stronger overall outlook. The most relevant protection in the result signal is the 2X view, which places the away side ahead while also allowing for a draw.

The scoring expectation is medium, suggesting a match with some attacking activity but without a clear indication of an especially open game. Whether both teams score is finely balanced, so that element should not be treated as a decisive factor. The listed scorelines of 1:1, 0:1 and 1:2 reflect the range of the forecast: a draw remains plausible, while narrow victories for CR Flamengo RJ are the main alternative. SC Internacional RS should therefore be expected to remain competitive, but the overall balance favours the visitors.

Current context

What matters before kick-off

Updated
Schedule

Internacional's recent league run

SC Internacional host CR Flamengo at the Estádio Beira-Rio in round 21 of the 2026 Brasileirão Série A following four consecutive league defeats.

Schedule

Flamengo's league standing and recent result

CR Flamengo travel to Porto Alegre sitting second in the standings with 38 points from 19 matches after playing out a 1-1 draw with São Paulo in their previous league fixture.

AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.

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