SC Internacional RS — CR Flamengo RJ: Win probabilities, 29.07.2026
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 48.1% |
| 12 | 73.6% | |
| X2 | 78.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 51.1% / 48.9% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 91.8% / 8.2% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 74.4% / 25.6% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 48.5% / 51.5% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 26.7% / 73.3% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 12.5% / 87.5% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 5.0% / 95.0% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Odds movement
| X1 | was 4.00 → now 4.20 |
| X2 | was 1.95 → now 1.85 |
Match preview
SC Internacional RS face CR Flamengo RJ in a Brasileiro Serie A matchup that points toward a competitive but moderately open contest. The assessment gives Flamengo a slight edge, with the away side better positioned to control the overall balance of the game. Internacional should still have opportunities, particularly if they can make effective use of home advantage and avoid allowing Flamengo to dictate the tempo from the outset.
The scoring outlook is medium, while the prospect of both teams finding the net remains finely balanced. That combination suggests a match where small details, defensive concentration and the quality of the final pass could have a significant influence. A draw remains a credible possibility, but the stronger overall signal leans toward Flamengo avoiding defeat. A close scoreline such as 1-1 is plausible, while narrow Flamengo victories, including 0-1 or 0-2, also fit the analytical picture.
Other matches
Prediction questions
We remove the bookmaker margin from market odds, estimate each team’s expected goals and build one matrix of possible scores. Outcomes, totals, both teams to score and likely scores all come from that matrix.
Fair odds are one divided by the probability of the main signal. They are a mathematical reference without bookmaker margin, not an offer from a particular bookmaker.
The official prediction is locked before kick-off and is never rewritten after publication. After the final whistle it is checked against the result and added to the public record.
AI does not calculate or change probabilities. It explains the mathematical output in plain language, and the model used is shown next to the analysis.