Clube do Remo PA — EC Vitoria BA: Win probabilities, 26.07.2026
Result
We predicted: 1X · Verdict: Hit
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 71.1% |
| 12 | 72.5% | |
| X2 | 56.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 51.8% / 48.2% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 91.6% / 8.4% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 72.9% / 27.1% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 46.9% / 53.1% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 25.3% / 74.7% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 11.5% / 88.5% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 4.5% / 95.5% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
Clube do Remo PA welcome EC Vitoria BA in Brasileiro Serie A with a moderate indication of a slight home advantage. The matchup is not expected to be one-sided, however, and the available signal points toward protection of the home side rather than a strong standalone win prediction. The teams appear close enough for the visitors to remain competitive throughout the match.
The scoring outlook is medium, with 1-1, 1-0 and 2-1 among the likely scorelines. That range suggests a contest where small details could determine the outcome, while a draw remains a realistic possibility. Both teams scoring is considered a coin flip, so there is no clear basis for expecting either a blank for one side or goals from both. Overall, Clube do Remo PA hold the narrower edge, but EC Vitoria BA have a credible chance of taking something from the game.
Other matches
Prediction questions
We remove the bookmaker margin from market odds, estimate each team’s expected goals and build one matrix of possible scores. Outcomes, totals, both teams to score and likely scores all come from that matrix.
Fair odds are one divided by the probability of the main signal. They are a mathematical reference without bookmaker margin, not an offer from a particular bookmaker.
The official prediction is locked before kick-off and is never rewritten after publication. After the final whistle it is checked against the result and added to the public record.
AI does not calculate or change probabilities. It explains the mathematical output in plain language, and the model used is shown next to the analysis.