Match intelligence

Clube do Remo PA — EC Vitoria BA: Win probabilities, 26.07.2026

League: Brasileiro Serie A (Brazil) · Kick-off:

Full time

Final result

✓ Prediction hit
Clube do Remo PA2
:
0EC Vitoria BA
Locked signal 1X Probability 71.1% Verdict Hit
Mathematical model

Win probabilities

Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin

Odds updated
W1 43.6% Home win Clube do Remo PA
X 27.5% Draw
W2 28.9% Away win EC Vitoria BA
Market matrix

Markets

Double chance
1272.5%
Both teams to score
Yes51.8%
Totals 2.5
Under53.1%

All calculated markets

MarketSelectionProbability
Double chance1X71.1%
1272.5%
X256.4%
Both teams to scoreYes/No51.8% / 48.2%
Totals 0.5 Over/Under 91.6% / 8.4%
Totals 1.5 Over/Under 72.9% / 27.1%
Totals 2.5 Over/Under 46.9% / 53.1%
Totals 3.5 Over/Under 25.3% / 74.7%
Totals 4.5 Over/Under 11.5% / 88.5%
Totals 5.5 Over/Under 4.5% / 95.5%
Goal distribution model

Score probability heatmap

Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally

Clube do Remo PA × EC Vitoria BA
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0 8.4%
0:1 8.1%
0:2 4.9%
0:3 1.8%
0:4 0.5%
0:5 0.1%
1
1:0 10.6%
1:1 13.1%
1:2 7.0%
1:3 2.6%
1:4 0.7%
1:5 0.2%
2
2:0 8.0%
2:1 8.9%
2:2 5.0%
2:3 1.9%
2:4 0.5%
2:5 0.1%
3
3:0 3.8%
3:1 4.3%
3:2 2.4%
3:3 0.9%
3:4 0.2%
3:5 0.1%
4
4:0 1.4%
4:1 1.5%
4:2 0.9%
4:3 0.3%
4:4 0.1%
4:5 0.0%
5
5:0 0.4%
5:1 0.4%
5:2 0.2%
5:3 0.1%
5:4 0.0%
5:5 0.0%
Most likely scores
1:113.1%
1:010.6%
2:18.9%
0:08.4%
0:18.1%
Match data

Form and head-to-head

Results before kick-off on 26.07.2026

Clube do Remo PA

19th place · 18 pts after 19

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 23.07.2026 away Corinthians 0:3
  • 01.06.2026 home Sao Paulo 1:0
  • 24.05.2026 home Athletico-PR 1:2
  • 17.05.2026 away Chapecoense-SC 3:2
  • 10.05.2026 home Palmeiras 1:1

EC Vitoria BA

11th place · 26 pts after 19

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 23.07.2026 away Botafogo RJ 0:0
  • 16.07.2026 home Vasco 1:0
  • 31.05.2026 away Santos 1:3
  • 23.05.2026 home Internacional 2:0
  • 17.05.2026 away Bragantino 0:2

This season: Clube do Remo PA at home vs EC Vitoria BA away

Metric Clube do Remo PA · at home EC Vitoria BA · away
Matches910
W–D–L2–4–30–4–6
Goals scored per match1.220.70
Goals conceded per match1.222.20
Over 2.5 goals33%50%
Both teams scored67%60%

Head-to-head · Last 1 meetings

Clube do Remo PA wins0
Draws0
EC Vitoria BA wins1
Goals per match2.00
Both teams scored0/1
Over 2.5 goals0/1
  • 28.01.2026 EC Vitoria BA 2:0 Clube do Remo PA

Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.

✦
AI analysis

Match preview

Model · GPT 5.6 Luna

Clube do Remo PA welcome EC Vitoria BA in Brasileiro Serie A with a moderate indication of a slight home advantage. The matchup is not expected to be one-sided, however, and the available signal points toward protection of the home side rather than a strong standalone win prediction. The teams appear close enough for the visitors to remain competitive throughout the match.

The scoring outlook is medium, with 1-1, 1-0 and 2-1 among the likely scorelines. That range suggests a contest where small details could determine the outcome, while a draw remains a realistic possibility. Both teams scoring is considered a coin flip, so there is no clear basis for expecting either a blank for one side or goals from both. Overall, Clube do Remo PA hold the narrower edge, but EC Vitoria BA have a credible chance of taking something from the game.

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