EC Bahia BA — SC Corinthians SP: Win probabilities, 26.07.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 68.6% |
| 12 | 71.6% | |
| X2 | 59.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 53.2% / 46.8% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 91.4% / 8.6% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 73.8% / 26.2% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 47.5% / 52.5% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 25.8% / 74.2% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 11.9% / 88.1% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 4.7% / 95.3% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 26.07.2026
EC Bahia BA
6th place · 30 pts after 19Last 5 matches · latest first
- 21.07.2026 away Atletico-MG 1:1
- 17.07.2026 home Chapecoense-SC 2:0
- 30.05.2026 home Botafogo RJ 2:1
- 26.05.2026 away Coritiba 2:3
- 17.05.2026 home Gremio 1:1
SC Corinthians SP
7th place · 27 pts after 19Last 5 matches · latest first
- 23.07.2026 home Remo 3:0
- 30.05.2026 away Gremio 3:1
- 24.05.2026 home Atletico-MG 1:0
- 17.05.2026 away Botafogo RJ 1:3
- 10.05.2026 home Sao Paulo 3:2
This season: EC Bahia BA at home vs SC Corinthians SP away
| Metric | EC Bahia BA · at home | SC Corinthians SP · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 10 | 9 |
| W–D–L | 4–4–2 | 2–4–3 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 1.22 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 44% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 67% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 28.01.2026 SC Corinthians SP 1:2 EC Bahia BA
- 17.08.2025 SC Corinthians SP 1:2 EC Bahia BA
- 31.03.2025 EC Bahia BA 1:1 SC Corinthians SP
- 03.12.2024 SC Corinthians SP 3:0 EC Bahia BA
- 21.07.2024 EC Bahia BA 0:1 SC Corinthians SP
- 25.11.2023 SC Corinthians SP 1:5 EC Bahia BA
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
EC Bahia BA and SC Corinthians SP look evenly matched ahead of their Brasileiro Serie A meeting. The available assessment points to a moderate level of confidence, with neither side holding a clear overall advantage. That suggests a balanced contest in which territorial control and the ability to manage key phases may be more important than sustained dominance from either team.
The match is expected to sit in a medium-scoring range, while both teams scoring remains difficult to separate. A 1-1 draw is one plausible scenario, although a narrow home win such as 1-0 or 2-1 also fits the broader assessment. EC Bahia BA may have a slight advantage from playing at home, but SC Corinthians SP have enough to keep the game competitive. The main expectation is therefore for a close encounter, with the result likely decided by small details rather than a clear gap in quality.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.