Red Bull Bragantino SP — Coritiba FC PR: Win probabilities, 26.07.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 84.0% |
| 12 | 75.8% | |
| X2 | 40.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 47.4% / 52.6% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 92.0% / 8.0% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 74.2% / 25.8% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 48.5% / 51.5% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 26.7% / 73.3% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 12.5% / 87.5% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 5.0% / 95.0% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 26.07.2026
Red Bull Bragantino SP
5th place · 30 pts after 19Last 5 matches · latest first
- 18.07.2026 away Fluminense 1:1
- 31.05.2026 home Internacional 3:1
- 25.05.2026 away Vasco 3:0
- 17.05.2026 home Vitoria 2:0
- 10.05.2026 away Santos 0:2
Coritiba FC PR
10th place · 26 pts after 19Last 5 matches · latest first
- 22.07.2026 home Palmeiras 1:3
- 30.05.2026 away Flamengo RJ 0:3
- 26.05.2026 home Bahia 3:2
- 17.05.2026 away Santos 3:0
- 09.05.2026 home Internacional 2:2
This season: Red Bull Bragantino SP at home vs Coritiba FC PR away
| Metric | Red Bull Bragantino SP · at home | Coritiba FC PR · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 9 | 10 |
| W–D–L | 5–1–3 | 4–2–4 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.78 | 1.40 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 56% | 40% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 28.01.2026 Coritiba FC PR 0:1 Red Bull Bragantino SP
- 03.12.2023 Red Bull Bragantino SP 1:0 Coritiba FC PR
- 06.08.2023 Coritiba FC PR 0:1 Red Bull Bragantino SP
- 09.10.2022 Coritiba FC PR 2:1 Red Bull Bragantino SP
- 15.06.2022 Red Bull Bragantino SP 4:2 Coritiba FC PR
- 06.12.2020 Coritiba FC PR 0:0 Red Bull Bragantino SP
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Red Bull Bragantino SP meet Coritiba FC PR in the Brasileiro Serie A with the hosts holding the clearer overall edge. The assessment points to Red Bull Bragantino SP as the stronger side, although the moderate confidence level suggests that this advantage should be treated with some caution rather than as a decisive gap. Coritiba FC PR remain capable of making the contest competitive, particularly if they can keep the match balanced through the early stages.
The expected profile is medium-scoring, with a narrow home win among the more plausible outcomes. Both teams scoring is considered difficult to separate, so the match could develop in either direction depending on which side converts its chances more efficiently. A controlled Red Bull Bragantino SP performance, producing a low-margin result, fits the available signals, while a draw is also within the range of realistic outcomes.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.