Mirassol FC SP — Clube do Remo PA: Win probabilities, 29.07.2026
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 81.9% |
| 12 | 75.1% | |
| X2 | 43.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 48.3% / 51.7% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 91.9% / 8.1% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 73.7% / 26.3% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 47.9% / 52.1% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 26.2% / 73.8% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 12.1% / 87.9% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 4.8% / 95.2% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Odds movement
| X2 | was 5.25 → now 5.00 |
Match preview
Mirassol FC SP have a slight edge over Clube do Remo PA in this Brasileiro Serie A fixture, although the low confidence level points to a closely contested match rather than a clear home advantage. Mirassol may be able to make better use of home conditions, but Clube do Remo PA remain capable of keeping the game balanced if they stay organized.
The scoring outlook is medium, with the most plausible scenarios pointing to a narrow home win or a draw. A 1-0 result would fit the cautious side of the forecast, while 1-1 reflects the view that both teams scoring is difficult to separate. A 2-0 Mirassol FC SP victory is another possible outcome, but the available assessment does not suggest a large gap between the sides. Overall, the match leans toward Mirassol FC SP, with limited certainty and a potentially tight margin.
Other matches
Prediction questions
We remove the bookmaker margin from market odds, estimate each team’s expected goals and build one matrix of possible scores. Outcomes, totals, both teams to score and likely scores all come from that matrix.
Fair odds are one divided by the probability of the main signal. They are a mathematical reference without bookmaker margin, not an offer from a particular bookmaker.
The official prediction is locked before kick-off and is never rewritten after publication. After the final whistle it is checked against the result and added to the public record.
AI does not calculate or change probabilities. It explains the mathematical output in plain language, and the model used is shown next to the analysis.