SC Internacional RS — Coritiba FC PR: Win probabilities, 04.11.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
61.1%
Home win
SC Internacional RS
X
22.6%
Draw
W2
16.3%
Away win
Coritiba FC PR
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
1X83.7%
Both teams to score
Yes53.3%
Totals 2.5
Over56.0%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 83.7% |
| 12 | 77.4% | |
| X2 | 38.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 53.3% / 46.7% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 93.9% / 6.1% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 79.7% / 20.3% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 56.0% / 44.0% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 33.6% / 66.4% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 17.2% / 82.8% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 7.7% / 92.3% |
Goal distribution model
SC Internacional RS × Coritiba FC PR
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
6.1%
0:1
4.3%
0:2
2.4%
0:3
0.7%
0:4
0.2%
0:5
0.0%
1
1:0
9.9%
1:1
10.7%
1:2
4.7%
1:3
1.5%
1:4
0.3%
1:5
0.1%
2
2:0
10.6%
2:1
9.9%
2:2
4.7%
2:3
1.5%
2:4
0.3%
2:5
0.1%
3
3:0
7.0%
3:1
6.6%
3:2
3.1%
3:3
1.0%
3:4
0.2%
3:5
0.0%
4
4:0
3.5%
4:1
3.3%
4:2
1.5%
4:3
0.5%
4:4
0.1%
4:5
0.0%
5
5:0
1.4%
5:1
1.3%
5:2
0.6%
5:3
0.2%
5:4
0.0%
5:5
0.0%
Most likely scores
1:110.7%
2:010.6%
2:19.9%
1:09.9%
3:07.0%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 04.11.2026
SC Internacional RS
16th place · 35 pts after 32Last 5 matches · latest first
- 24.10.2026 home Botafogo RJ 3:0
- 17.10.2026 away Mirassol 0:2
- 11.10.2026 away Gremio 1:1
- 07.10.2026 home Corinthians 2:1
- 20.09.2026 away Sao Paulo 0:1
Coritiba FC PR
12th place · 39 pts after 32Last 5 matches · latest first
- 26.10.2026 home Gremio 0:1
- 17.10.2026 away Atletico-MG 0:1
- 12.10.2026 home Botafogo RJ 1:1
- 09.10.2026 away Fluminense 0:4
- 20.09.2026 away Vasco 0:5
This season: SC Internacional RS at home vs Coritiba FC PR away
| Metric | SC Internacional RS · at home | Coritiba FC PR · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 16 | 16 |
| W–D–L | 5–5–6 | 5–4–7 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.31 | 1.13 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.06 | 1.81 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44% | 56% |
| Both teams scored | 56% | 38% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
SC Internacional RS wins2
Draws3
Coritiba FC PR wins1
Goals per match3.50
Both teams scored4/6
Over 2.5 goals4/6
- 09.05.2026 Coritiba FC PR 2:2 SC Internacional RS
- 29.10.2023 SC Internacional RS 3:4 Coritiba FC PR
- 23.06.2023 Coritiba FC PR 0:1 SC Internacional RS
- 23.10.2022 Coritiba FC PR 1:1 SC Internacional RS
- 25.06.2022 SC Internacional RS 3:0 Coritiba FC PR
- 08.11.2020 SC Internacional RS 2:2 Coritiba FC PR
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
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