Red Bull Bragantino SP — Santos FC SP: Win probabilities, 02.11.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
50.2%
Home win
Red Bull Bragantino SP
X
26.0%
Draw
W2
23.8%
Away win
Santos FC SP
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
1X76.2%
Both teams to score
Yes59.4%
Totals 2.5
Over57.3%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 76.2% |
| 12 | 74.0% | |
| X2 | 49.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 59.4% / 40.6% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 93.5% / 6.5% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 81.2% / 18.8% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 57.3% / 42.7% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 34.9% / 65.1% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 18.2% / 81.8% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 8.2% / 91.8% |
Goal distribution model
Red Bull Bragantino SP × Santos FC SP
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
6.5%
0:1
4.6%
0:2
3.6%
0:3
1.4%
0:4
0.4%
0:5
0.1%
1
1:0
7.7%
1:1
12.2%
1:2
6.4%
1:3
2.5%
1:4
0.8%
1:5
0.2%
2
2:0
8.2%
2:1
9.7%
2:2
5.8%
2:3
2.3%
2:4
0.7%
2:5
0.2%
3
3:0
4.9%
3:1
5.8%
3:2
3.4%
3:3
1.4%
3:4
0.4%
3:5
0.1%
4
4:0
2.2%
4:1
2.6%
4:2
1.5%
4:3
0.6%
4:4
0.2%
4:5
0.0%
5
5:0
0.8%
5:1
0.9%
5:2
0.6%
5:3
0.2%
5:4
0.1%
5:5
0.0%
Most likely scores
1:112.2%
2:19.7%
2:08.2%
1:07.7%
0:06.5%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 02.11.2026
Red Bull Bragantino SP
10th place · 41 pts after 32Last 5 matches · latest first
- 24.10.2026 away Palmeiras 0:2
- 18.10.2026 away Remo 1:1
- 13.10.2026 home Cruzeiro 4:2
- 07.10.2026 home Mirassol 1:1
- 03.10.2026 away Atletico-MG 0:1
Santos FC SP
8th place · 46 pts after 32Last 5 matches · latest first
- 25.10.2026 home Bahia 1:1
- 18.10.2026 away Fluminense 2:1
- 11.10.2026 away Atletico-MG 1:2
- 08.10.2026 home Flamengo RJ 2:2
- 03.10.2026 away Sao Paulo 2:1
This season: Red Bull Bragantino SP at home vs Santos FC SP away
| Metric | Red Bull Bragantino SP · at home | Santos FC SP · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 15 | 16 |
| W–D–L | 7–3–5 | 6–4–6 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.60 | 1.63 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.13 | 1.63 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% | 81% |
| Both teams scored | 53% | 81% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
Red Bull Bragantino SP wins3
Draws1
Santos FC SP wins2
Goals per match2.83
Both teams scored3/6
Over 2.5 goals3/6
- 10.05.2026 Santos FC SP 2:0 Red Bull Bragantino SP
- 28.09.2025 Red Bull Bragantino SP 2:2 Santos FC SP
- 28.04.2025 Santos FC SP 1:2 Red Bull Bragantino SP
- 20.10.2023 Santos FC SP 1:3 Red Bull Bragantino SP
- 28.05.2023 Red Bull Bragantino SP 2:0 Santos FC SP
- 18.10.2022 Red Bull Bragantino SP 0:2 Santos FC SP
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Odds movement
| W1 | was 2.00 → now 1.90 |
| W2 | was 3.40 → now 3.80 |
Check current terms · 1WIN18+
Bonus up to $500
Sports betting, live markets and mobile app. Available only to users of legal gambling age in eligible regions.
Check available odds ↗
Other matches
Tools
Check the numbers before deciding
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.