SC Heerenveen — SC Telstar: Win probabilities, 13.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 80.9% |
| 12 | 79.8% | |
| X2 | 39.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 68.1% / 31.9% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 96.9% / 3.1% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 89.8% / 10.2% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 72.6% / 27.4% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 52.0% / 48.0% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 32.6% / 67.4% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 18.0% / 82.0% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 13.09.2026
SC Heerenveen
12th place · 5 pts after 5Last 5 matches · latest first
- 06.09.2026 home AZ Alkmaar 2:3
- 30.08.2026 away Willem II 2:2
- 22.08.2026 home Zwolle 0:2
- 16.08.2026 away Ajax 2:2
- 09.08.2026 home Twente 1:0
SC Telstar
14th place · 4 pts after 5Last 5 matches · latest first
- 09.09.2026 away Twente 0:1
- 06.09.2026 home Cambuur 2:2
- 30.08.2026 home Ajax 0:4
- 14.08.2026 home Sparta Rotterdam 1:3
- 08.08.2026 away Nijmegen 2:1
This season: SC Heerenveen at home vs SC Telstar away
| Metric | SC Heerenveen · at home | SC Telstar · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 3 | 2 |
| W–D–L | 1–0–2 | 1–0–1 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.67 | 1.00 |
| xG for per match | 0.91 | 1.09 |
| xG against per match | 1.45 | 2.40 |
| Shots on target per match | 4.67 | 2.50 |
| Corners per match | 4.33 | 2.50 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 33% | 50% |
Head-to-head · Last 2 meetings
- 14.03.2026 SC Heerenveen 3:0 SC Telstar
- 19.10.2025 SC Telstar 2:3 SC Heerenveen
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
SC Heerenveen have a slight edge over SC Telstar in this Eredivisie meeting, although the moderate confidence suggests a contest with room for variation. The available outlook points towards an open match rather than a tightly controlled one, with both sides carrying a realistic threat in attack. That should make the balance of the game important, particularly if either team scores early and the match becomes more stretched.
The scoring profile indicates a high-scoring encounter, while both teams are likely to find the net. SC Heerenveen may have the stronger overall position, but SC Telstar should not be dismissed, especially in a game where defensive transitions and space could play a significant role. The most plausible scenarios range from a narrow home victory to a level score, with a more convincing SC Heerenveen win also within the expected range. This points to an entertaining but difficult match to call with complete certainty.
What matters before kick-off
Winless streak ahead of the match
Both SC Heerenveen and SC Telstar enter their round six Eredivisie fixture having failed to win any of their previous four league matches.
Head-to-head history
SC Heerenveen have won seven of their eight previous meetings against SC Telstar in all competitions.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.