Go Ahead Eagles — FC Groningen: Win probabilities, 12.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 65.2% |
| 12 | 77.1% | |
| X2 | 57.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 70.3% / 29.7% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 96.7% / 3.3% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 88.2% / 11.8% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 70.0% / 30.0% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 48.9% / 51.1% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 29.7% / 70.3% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 15.8% / 84.2% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 12.09.2026
Go Ahead Eagles
5th place · 11 pts after 6Last 5 matches · latest first
- 08.09.2026 away Utrecht 3:3
- 05.09.2026 away Utrecht 3:1
- 29.08.2026 away AZ Alkmaar 2:5
- 23.08.2026 home Den Haag 3:1
- 16.08.2026 away Feyenoord 2:2
FC Groningen
10th place · 7 pts after 5Last 5 matches · latest first
- 06.09.2026 home Twente 2:2
- 28.08.2026 home For Sittard 2:3
- 23.08.2026 away PSV Eindhoven 1:5
- 16.08.2026 away Den Haag 4:1
- 09.08.2026 home Utrecht 2:1
This season: Go Ahead Eagles at home vs FC Groningen away
| Metric | Go Ahead Eagles · at home | FC Groningen · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 2 | 2 |
| W–D–L | 2–0–0 | 1–0–1 |
| Goals scored per match | 3.50 | 2.50 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| xG for per match | 1.64 | 2.14 |
| xG against per match | 1.18 | 2.71 |
| Shots on target per match | 7.50 | 9.00 |
| Corners per match | 5.50 | 3.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 100% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 11.04.2026 FC Groningen 0:0 Go Ahead Eagles
- 21.12.2025 Go Ahead Eagles 1:1 FC Groningen
- 18.01.2025 Go Ahead Eagles 2:1 FC Groningen
- 29.09.2024 FC Groningen 0:1 Go Ahead Eagles
- 07.05.2023 Go Ahead Eagles 1:1 FC Groningen
- 21.08.2022 FC Groningen 1:0 Go Ahead Eagles
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Go Ahead Eagles and FC Groningen appear evenly matched ahead of their Eredivisie meeting on 12 September 2026. The available assessment gives the hosts and visitors a similar overall outlook, with only moderate confidence in the balance of the contest. That suggests a match in which neither side has a clearly established advantage, and where small details may shape the final outcome.
The stronger signal concerns the potential for an open game. Scoring is expected to be high, while both teams are considered likely to find the net. That points towards an entertaining contest with opportunities at both ends rather than a tightly controlled defensive battle. Go Ahead Eagles may look to use home advantage, while FC Groningen should have a realistic opportunity to respond, keeping the match competitive throughout. A draw is a credible possibility, but the assessment also allows for either team to edge a close result if it converts its chances more effectively.
What matters before kick-off
Go Ahead Eagles squad availability
Ahead of the fixture against FC Groningen, the hosts are sidelined without several injured players, including Nick Marsman, Gerrit Nauber, Tomas Galvez, and Pim Saathof.
FC Groningen injury list
FC Groningen enter the away match dealing with several fitness issues, missing players such as Travis Hernes, Rijk Janse, Tyrique Mercera, and Ryan Metu due to injury.
Recent high-scoring result for Go Ahead Eagles
In their previous Eredivisie fixture prior to this round, Go Ahead Eagles played out a thrilling 3-3 away draw against FC Utrecht.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.